Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

: FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Chances of winning

Paris Saint-Germain
40.3%

Draw
26.4%

Real Madrid
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	6.2% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 35 - 71.4%). Real will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 58.7% – 84.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - PSG (votes: 7 - 100%).

AH -0.25 - PSG (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.
PSG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Real Madrid?

Paris Saint-Germain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Real Madrid has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid were as follows:

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

05.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami 4:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺

19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

05.07.2025 Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 3:2 ✺

01.07.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0 ✺

26.06.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Real Madrid - Pachuca 3:1 ✺

18.06.2025 Real Madrid - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Inter (E1)	Fluminense (F2)	0 : 2
2	Manchester City (G1)	Al Hilal (H2)	3 : 4
3	Palmeiras (A1)	Botafogo RJ (B2)	1 : 0
4	Benfica (C1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 4
5	PSG (B1)	Inter Miami (A2)	4 : 0
6	Flamengo RJ (D1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 4
7	Real Madrid (H1)	Juventus (G2)	1 : 0
8	Dortmund (F1)	Monterrey (E2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Al Hilal (H2)	2 : 1
2	Palmeiras (A1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 2
3	PSG (B1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 0
4	Real Madrid (H1)	Dortmund (F1)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Chelsea (D2)	0 : 2
2	PSG (B1)	Real Madrid (H1)

Final

1

Chelsea (D2)

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


	MBC 1
Afghanistan	Ariana, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes World Football, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	MBC Action, Q Arena Asia
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN, ProSieben
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, DAZN, Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Egypt	MBC Masr 2
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, ProSieben
Greece	ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV, Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Match 4
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Iran	IRIB Varzesh, Persiana Sports
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Canale 5, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Canal 5, DAZN App, DAZN, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Niger	ORTN, Tele Sahel
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, STC TV
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, ProSieben, ProSieben, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Uganda	Sanyuka TV
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN, MBC 5
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	DAZN App, Sport 24 Extra