Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid
09/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
40.3%
Draw
26.4%
Real Madrid
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 26.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 28.1% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.39)
    3.55
    (3.65)
    2.82
    (2.84)
    6.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 35 - 71.4%). Real will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 58.7%84.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - PSG (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - PSG (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.
    • PSG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Real is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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