Real Madrid vs Juventus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Real Madrid - Juventus
Result
1:0
01/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Real Madrid - Juventus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.77
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
92% (572/621)90% (420/469)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.370.31
Total shots
216
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
3817
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
511
Passes
92% (572/621)90% (420/469)
Long passes
62% (31/50)49% (18/37)
Passes in final third
86% (177/206)84% (92/110)
Crosses
13% (4/30)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.89
Throw-ins
155
Fouls
115
Tackles
73% (11/15)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1532
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
210
xGOT faced
0.312.37
Goals prevented
0.311.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
  • 59', Kelly L. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
  • 59', Conceicao F. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
  • 68', Garcia G. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
  • 71', Yildiz K. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
  • 78', Guler A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 86', Rugani D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
  • 86', Locatelli M. ↓, McKennie W. ↑,
  • 87', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 90', Valverde F. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
53.2%		Draw
26%		Juventus
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 25.3% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 24.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Juventus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.77)    		 4.63 ↓
    (5.46)    		 4.5%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Juventus?
  • Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 52 - 75.4%). Juventus will win (votes: 8 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 65.2% – 85.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Juventus (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
    • AH -0.75 - Juventus (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Juventus (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
    • Real has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Juventus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Reinier (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Juventus: Cabal J. (Knee Injury) Miretti F. (Shoulder Injury) Perin M. (Surgery) Savona N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventus: Gatti F. (Illness)
    • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Real won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Juventus were as follows:
    02.08.2023 Juventus - Real Madrid 3:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    26.06.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    22.06.2025 Real Madrid - Pachuca 3:1 ✺
    18.06.2025 Real Madrid - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    24.05.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:0 ✺
    18.05.2025 Sevilla - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Juventus
    26.06.2025 Juventus - Manchester City 2:5 ✺
    22.06.2025 Juventus - Wydad Casablanca 4:1 ✺
    18.06.2025 Al Ain - Juventus 0:5 ✺
    25.05.2025 Venezia - Juventus 2:3 ✺
    18.05.2025 Juventus - Udinese 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)
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