Orlando City vs Nashville SC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Nashville SC
Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
Orlando City - Nashville SC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.36
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (343/387)91% (594/653)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.251.89
Total shots
149
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
146
Passes
89% (343/387)91% (594/653)
Long passes
62% (18/29)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
69% (57/83)81% (95/118)
Crosses
40% (6/15)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.10
Throw-ins
1014
Fouls
614
Tackles
62% (8/13)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4627
Clearances
1512
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.892.25
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 28', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 29', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Ojeda M. , Smith K. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Mukhtar H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yazbek P. , Shaffelburg J. ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Shaffelburg J. , Lovitz D. (A), Surridge S. (A2)
  • 63', Muriel L. , McGuire D. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Spicer T. ,
  • 77', Brugman G. , Corcoran M. ,
  • 77', Palacios J. , Bauer J. ,
  • 86', Tagseth E. , Acosta B. ,
  • 86', Brekalo D. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 86', Smith K. , Guske C. ,
  • 90+1', Lovitz D. , Schmitt T. ,
  • 90+3', Shaffelburg J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, McGuire D. , Spicer T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
46.9%
Draw
25.9%
Nashville SC
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27.1% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 28.2% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.42)
    3.68
    (3.48)
    3.47
    (2.77)
    5.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
    • Orlando City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nashville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.
    • Orlando City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Meyer W. (Foot Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Marin A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Nashville SC - Orlando City 5:1
    21.05.2025 Orlando City - Nashville SC 2:3
    31.08.2024 Orlando City - Nashville SC 3:0
    17.07.2024 Nashville SC - Orlando City 0:3
    07.11.2023 Nashville SC - Orlando City 0:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Nashville SC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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