Lille vs Olympique Marseille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lille - Olympique Marseille
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Lille - Olympique Marseille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.17
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (353/411)91% (548/605)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.22
Total shots
513
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
525
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
89
Passes
86% (353/411)91% (548/605)
Long passes
42% (15/36)68% (32/47)
Passes in final third
65% (47/72)80% (121/151)
Crosses
17% (1/6)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.65
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
98
Tackles
65% (11/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3033
Clearances
266
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.220.37
Goals prevented
0.13-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Bennacer I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bennacer I. , Rongier V. ,
  • 46', Akpom Ch. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Gouiri A. , Rabiot A. (A),
  • 65', Ismaily 🟨,
  • 66', Ismaily , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 66', Bentaleb N. , Mukau N. ,
  • 72', Haraldsson H. , Bakker M. ,
  • 73', Garcia U. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. , David J. (A),
  • 80', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 85', Garcia U. , Merlin Q. ,
  • 90', Luis Henrique , Rowe J. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
40.9%
Draw
28.1%
Olympique Marseille
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.7% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 29.8% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Lille - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.43)
    3.41
    (3.33)
    3.08
    (2.97)
    4.7%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Olympique Marseille?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
    • Lille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lille: Diakite B. (Red Card) Gomes A. (Back Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Luiz Felipe (Eye injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:2
    14.12.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:1
    05.04.2024 Lille - Olympique Marseille 3:1
    04.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lille 0:0
    20.05.2023 Lille - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    27.04.2025 Angers - Lille 0:2
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 33256289:345581
    2Marseille ✔ 33195970:452562
    3Monaco ✔ 33187863:372661
    4Nice33169860:411957
    5Lille33169850:351557
    6Strasbourg33169854:411357
    7Lyon331661163:461754
    8Brest331551352:53-150
    9Lens331471238:39-149
    10Auxerre331191347:48-142
    11Rennes331321849:46341
    12Toulouse331091441:41039
    13Angers331061732:51-1936
    14Reims33891632:45-1333
    15Nantes337121436:52-1633
    16Le Havre33942037:69-3231
    17St Etienne33861937:74-3730
    18Montpellier ✔ 33442523:76-5316

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Marseille is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monaco is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Olympique Marseille?
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