Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (226/304) | 89% (566/633) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (226/304) | 89% (566/633) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 57% (21/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 79% (147/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 27% (9/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Magnetti H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
- 67', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
- 71', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 71', Paixao I. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
- 71', Gouiri A. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
- 73', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 79', Timber Q. 🟨,
- 79', Timber Q. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
- 79', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 82', Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
- 89', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 90', Nwaneri E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Nadir B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
24.4% | Draw
25.4% | Olympique Marseille
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Brest - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↓
(3.92) |
3.75 ↑
(3.71) |
1.91 ↑
(1.86) |
4.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brest - Olympique Marseille?
- Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Marseille will win (votes: 43 - 78.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 67.3% – 89.1%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- DC - Brest (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Marseille (votes: 13 - 86.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Marseille could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Thigh Injury)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Olympique Marseille?
Brest has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Brest?
Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
08.11.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
3:0
27.04.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
4:1
17.08.2024
Brest
-
Olympique Marseille
1:5
18.02.2024
Brest
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
26.08.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
2:0
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Draw
Relegation - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nice | Bye | |
| 3 | St Etienne | Bye | |
| 4 | Red Star | Rodez | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nice | Bye | |
| 2 | St Etienne | Rodez | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Nice | St Etienne | 4 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Brest - Olympique Marseille?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 4, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
