Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. James' Park (Newcastle).

: Premier League - Round 36
Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	0.63
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
84% (339/402)	87% (422/486)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.04	0.36
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
14	6
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
39	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
84% (339/402)	87% (422/486)
Long passes
51% (21/41)	44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
76% (105/139)	80% (129/161)
Crosses
50% (5/10)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.48	0.45
Throw-ins
18	9
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
60% (6/10)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
35	44
Clearances
28	16
Interceptions
3	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.36	2.04
Goals prevented
0.36	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tonali S. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
35', Jackson N. 🟥,
39', Maresca E. 🟨,
45+5', Fernandez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Madueke N. ↓, James R. ↑,
53', Schar F. 🟨,
55', Botman S. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
64', Murphy J. 🟨,
65', Gordon A. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
75', Chalobah T. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
75', Lavia R. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
85', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
89', Krafth E. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽, Burn D. (A),
90+3', Colwill L. 🟨,
90+4', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
90+4', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Newcastle United
42.2%

Draw
25.9%

Chelsea
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

24%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Newcastle United - Chelsea Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.07)	3.71 ↓ (3.96)	3.02 ↓ (3.34)	4.1% (3.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Chelsea?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
Newcastle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chelsea is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Newcastle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Foot Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury) Targett M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Chelsea: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Nkunku C. (Knock)
There are questionable in Newcastle: Schar F. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Guiu M. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Chelsea?

Newcastle United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Newcastle United?

Chelsea has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Chelsea were as follows:

30.10.2024 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0

27.10.2024 Chelsea - Newcastle United 2:1

11.03.2024 Chelsea - Newcastle United 3:2

19.12.2023 Chelsea - Newcastle United 2:1

25.11.2023 Newcastle United - Chelsea 4:1

Latest results of Newcastle United

04.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Newcastle United - Ipswich Town 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 5:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester United 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Chelsea

08.05.2025 Chelsea - Djurgården 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Djurgården - Chelsea 1:4 ✺

26.04.2025 Chelsea - Everton 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Fulham - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

English Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liverpool ✔	36	25	8	3	83:37	46	83
2	Arsenal	36	18	14	4	66:33	33	68
3	Newcastle	36	20	6	10	68:45	23	66
4	Manchester City	36	19	8	9	67:43	24	65
5	Chelsea	36	18	9	9	62:43	19	63
6	Aston Villa	36	18	9	9	56:49	7	63
7	Nottingham	36	18	8	10	56:44	12	62
8	Brentford	36	16	7	13	63:53	10	55
9	Brighton	36	14	13	9	59:56	3	55
10	Bournemouth	36	14	11	11	55:43	12	53
11	Fulham	36	14	9	13	51:50	1	51
12	Crystal Palace	36	12	13	11	46:48	-2	49
13	Everton	36	9	15	12	39:44	-5	42
14	Wolves	36	12	5	19	51:64	-13	41
15	West Ham	36	10	10	16	42:59	-17	40
16	Manchester Utd	36	10	9	17	42:53	-11	39
17	Tottenham	36	11	5	20	63:59	4	38
18	Ipswich ✔	36	4	10	22	35:77	-42	22
19	Leicester ✔	36	5	7	24	31:78	-47	22
20	Southampton ✔	36	2	6	28	25:82	-57	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Clinched Spots for Teams

Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
Leicester is Relegated to Championship
Southampton is Relegated to Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle United - Chelsea?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN, TNT
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, SKY NET Sports 3
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab