Liverpool vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Liverpool - Chelsea
Result
1:1
09/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 36
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Liverpool - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.520.46
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
33
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
52
Passes
84% (388/462)86% (431/500)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.520.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.36
Total shots
86
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
54
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2423
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1717
Passes
84% (388/462)86% (431/500)
Long passes
31% (13/42)21% (9/42)
Passes in final third
67% (66/98)67% (81/121)
Crosses
38% (6/16)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.41
Throw ins
1617
Fouls
1717
Tackles
70% (7/10)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4255
Clearances
1014
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.360.32
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Gravenberch R. , Ngumoha R. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Fernandez E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Andrey Santos , James R. ,
  • 67', Ngumoha R. , Isak A. ,
  • 67', Hato J. 🟨,
  • 71', McFarlane C. 🟨,
  • 73', Fernandez E. 🟨,
  • 77', Konate I. , Gomez J. ,
  • 77', Gakpo C. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 83', Cucurella M. 🟨,
  • 88', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 89', Caicedo M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mac Allister A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
49.7%
Draw
25.2%
Chelsea
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 24.4% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 24.3% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Liverpool aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Liverpool - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.93)
    3.83
    (3.91)
    3.84
    (3.65)
    3.7%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Chelsea?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (72 of 81 users predict this - 88.89%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 82.05%95.73%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chelsea is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Derry J. (Concussion) Estêvão (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sanchez R. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Alisson (Muscle Injury) Isak A. (Muscle Injury) Mamardashvili G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Garnacho A. (Inactive) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Neto P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Chelsea were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 2:1
    04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1
    20.10.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 2:1
    25.02.2024 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:1
    31.01.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 4:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    25.04.2026 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 3:1
    19.04.2026 Everton - Liverpool 1:2
    11.04.2026 Liverpool - Fulham 2:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    English Premier League Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12Coventry00000:000
    13Crystal Palace00000:000
    14Hull00000:000
    15Ipswich00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Chelsea?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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