New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution
Result
5:3
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.312.22
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
88% (456/520)83% (306/368)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.312.22
xG on target (xGOT)
3.621.12
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
88% (456/520)83% (306/368)
Long passes
35% (11/31)43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
80% (140/176)71% (55/77)
Crosses
17% (3/18)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.21
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1712
Tackles
55% (11/20)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.123.62
Goals prevented
-0.88-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Campana L. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Duncan K. (Own goal),
  • 45+4', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 46', Miller P. , Sands W. ,
  • 54', Carmona W. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Edelman D. , Donkor R. (A),
  • 61', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 62', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 62', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 62', Edelman D. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 66', Ceballos B. , Omsberg W. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Donkor R. (A2)
  • 71', Sofo M. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 71', Valencia O. , Edwards R. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Forsberg E. , Gjengaar D. (A),
  • 73', Bye B. , Feingold I. ,
  • 73', Langoni L. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 76', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 80', Beason T. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', 4 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Donkor R. (A),
  • 87', Hughes K. 🟨,
  • 88', 5 - 2, Forsberg E. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 5 - 3, Campana L. ,
  • 90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
51.7%
Draw
24.8%
New England Revolution
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 22% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.81)
    3.8
    (3.82)
    4.03
    (4.27)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). New England will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in New England: Fofana M. (Yellow Cards) Ganago I. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury) Feingold I. (Ankle Injury) Miller P. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution were as follows:
    29.03.2025 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    08.06.2024 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    11.05.2024 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 4:2
    30.08.2023 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    22.07.2023 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 0:0
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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