Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Nashville SC - Toronto FC
Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Nashville SC - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.44
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (416/476)86% (383/444)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.00
Total shots
107
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
814
Passes
87% (416/476)86% (383/444)
Long passes
50% (18/36)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
71% (89/126)66% (53/80)
Crosses
38% (5/13)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.47
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
148
Tackles
62% (13/21)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4353
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.001.47
Goals prevented
0.000.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ,
  • 39', Thompson K. , Spicer T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Longstaff M. , Osorio J. ,
  • 60', Zimmerman W. 🟨,
  • 68', Franklin K. 🟨,
  • 68', Muyl A. 🟨,
  • 72', Dominguez M. , Etienne D. ,
  • 73', Long K. 🟨,
  • 73', Tagseth E. , Yazbek P. ,
  • 73', Qasem A. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 80', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 85', Brugman G. , Acosta B. ,
  • 90+5', Mukhtar H. , Corcoran M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
66%
Draw
21.2%
Toronto FC
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.3% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.8% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Nashville SC - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.6)
    4.5
    (4.05)
    7.37
    (5.39)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3.
    • Nashville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nashville is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Meyer W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Petretta R. (Injury)
    • We predict that Nashville will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Toronto FC were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    19.06.2024 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    15.05.2024 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 2:0
    10.06.2023 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:1
    08.04.2023 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 0:0
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nashville SC - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4
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    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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