Parma vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Parma - Napoli
Result
0:0
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 37
Parma - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.38
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
62% (128/205)87% (457/528)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.48
Total shots
67
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
62% (128/205)87% (457/528)
Long passes
40% (18/45)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
32% (24/74)69% (91/131)
Crosses
25% (2/8)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.230.52
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1316
Tackles
63% (10/16)63% (5/8)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
3522
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.480.61
Goals prevented
0.480.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 36', Estevez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Leoni G. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
  • 69', Gilmour B. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
  • 69', Raspadori G. ↓, David Neres ↑,
  • 70', Del Prato E. 🟨,
  • 73', Di Lorenzo G. 🟨,
  • 76', Hernani ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
  • 80', Politano M. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
  • 80', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
  • 85', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
  • 85', Bonny A. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
  • 85', Valeri E. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
  • 86', Spinazzola L. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
  • 90+1', Conte A. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Chivu C. 🟥,
  • 90+4', Mazzocchi P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Parma
14.7%		Draw
22.3%		Napoli
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15% 22.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6% 22% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Parma - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.56 ↑
    (6.39)    		 4.28 ↑
    (4.27)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Parma - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 3 - 3.7%). Napoli will win (votes: 71 - 87.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 80.5% – 94.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Napoli (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Napoli (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.
    • Parma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Napoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery) Valenti L. (Red Card) Vogliacco A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury) Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Napoli were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Napoli - Parma 2:1
    Latest results of Parma
    10.05.2025 Empoli - Parma 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Napoli
    11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Parma - Napoli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
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    austriaAustriaDAZN
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    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport 2
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
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    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
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    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
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    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
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    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, Viaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+, SiriusXM FC
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Plus, ON Sport
    worldWorldOnefootball
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