Parma vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma).

: Serie A - Round 37

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.26	0.38
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
6	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
62% (128/205)	87% (457/528)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.26	0.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.48
Total shots
6	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
3	4
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
8	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
62% (128/205)	87% (457/528)
Long passes
40% (18/45)	56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
32% (24/74)	69% (91/131)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.23	0.52
Throw-ins
19	21
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
63% (10/16)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
52	46
Clearances
35	22
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.48	0.61
Goals prevented
0.48	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Conte A. 🟨,
36', Estevez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Leoni G. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
69', Gilmour B. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
69', Raspadori G. ↓, David Neres ↑,
70', Del Prato E. 🟨,
73', Di Lorenzo G. 🟨,
76', Hernani ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
80', Politano M. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
80', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
85', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
85', Bonny A. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
85', Valeri E. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
86', Spinazzola L. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
90+1', Conte A. 🟥,
90+1', Chivu C. 🟥,
90+4', Mazzocchi P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Parma
14.7%

Draw
22.3%

Napoli
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

22.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

22%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1%)

Parma - Napoli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↑ (6.39)	4.28 ↑ (4.27)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	4.4% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Parma - Napoli?

The most likely score is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.
Parma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Napoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery) Valenti L. (Red Card) Vogliacco A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury) Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Napoli?

Parma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Parma?

Napoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Napoli were as follows:

31.08.2024 Napoli - Parma 2:1

Latest results of Parma

10.05.2025 Empoli - Parma 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0:1 ✺

28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Napoli

11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺

14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59:27	32	82
2	Inter	38	24	9	5	79:35	44	81
3	Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78:37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58:35	23	70
5	AS Roma	38	20	9	9	56:35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60:41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61:49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61:43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57:47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49:52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39:45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41:56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37:49	-12	43
14	Verona	38	10	7	21	34:66	-32	37
15	Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40:56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44:58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27:58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33:59	-26	31
19	Venezia	38	5	14	19	32:56	-24	29
20	Monza	38	3	9	26	28:69	-41	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Parma - Napoli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, ON Sport
World	Onefootball