Genoa vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Genoa - Napoli
Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 24
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Genoa - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.322.30
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
43
Passes
80% (250/313)84% (421/501)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.322.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.382.03
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1216
Passes
80% (250/313)84% (421/501)
Long passes
43% (20/47)52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)74% (42/57)
Crosses
19% (5/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.47
Throw ins
1016
Fouls
1612
Tackles
48% (12/25)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5652
Clearances
1331
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
2.031.38
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', Meret A. 🟨,
  • 3', 1 - 0, Malinovskyi R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Hojlund R. ,
  • 22', 1 - 2, McTominay S. , Rrahmani A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', McTominay S. , Giovane ,
  • 50', Vasquez J. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Colombo L. ,
  • 59', Juan Jesus 🟨,
  • 59', Buongiorno A. , Beukema S. ,
  • 64', Colombo L. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 74', Malinovskyi R. , Masini P. ,
  • 74', Martin A. , Junior Messias ,
  • 76', Juan Jesus 🟨,
  • 77', Giovane , Olivera M. ,
  • 82', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
  • 89', Vitinha , Cornet M. ,
  • 90+2', Spinazzola L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Hojlund R. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Genoa
22.5%
Draw
31.7%
Napoli
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 28% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 29% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Genoa - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.29
    (4.69)
    3.02
    (3.39)
    2.09
    (1.84)
    4.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Genoa - Napoli?
    • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). Napoli will win (votes: 43 - 79.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 68.9%90.3%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Genoa (3.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Napoli (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Baldanzi T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Concussion) Milinkovic-Savic V. (Muscle Injury) Politano M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Napoli were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:1
    11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2
    21.12.2024 Genoa - Napoli 1:2
    17.02.2024 Napoli - Genoa 1:1
    16.09.2023 Genoa - Napoli 2:2
    Latest results of Genoa
    30.01.2026 Lazio - Genoa 3:2
    25.01.2026 Genoa - Bologna 3:2
    18.01.2026 Parma - Genoa 0:0
    12.01.2026 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0
    08.01.2026 Milan - Genoa 1:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    31.01.2026 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    28.01.2026 Napoli - Chelsea 2:3
    25.01.2026 Juventus - Napoli 3:0
    20.01.2026 Copenhagen - Napoli 1:1
    17.01.2026 Napoli - Sassuolo 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Genoa - Napoli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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