Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 29
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (527/601) | 75% (184/245) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (527/601) | 75% (184/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (103/128) | 61% (42/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Siebert J. ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
- 19', Siebert J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Elmas E. ↓, McTominay S. ↑,
- 46', Anguissa F. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
- 46', Coulibaly L. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
- 59', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Politano M. ⚽,
- 73', Politano M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 73', Spinazzola L. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
- 79', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 79', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
- 85', Alisson Santos ↓, Giovane ↑,
- 86', Ngom O. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli 66.1% | Draw 22.3% | Lecce 11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Napoli - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↑ (1.37) |
4.31 ↓ (4.63) |
8.45 ↓ (9.56) |
4.3% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napoli - Lecce?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- EH -1 - Napoli (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Napoli (2.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Napoli will win
(30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lecce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Napoli: David Neres
(Ankle Injury)
Di Lorenzo G.
(Knee Injury)
Rrahmani A.
(Injury)
Vergara A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F.
(Injury)
Gaspar K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: Lobotka S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M.
(Injury)
Gallo A.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Lecce?
Napoli has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Napoli?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Lecce were as follows:
28.10.2025
Lecce
-
Napoli
0:1
03.05.2025
Lecce
-
Napoli
0:1
26.10.2024
Napoli
-
Lecce
1:0
26.05.2024
Napoli
-
Lecce
0:0
30.09.2023
Lecce
-
Napoli
0:4
Italian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Lecce?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | VG+ |
Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
World | Starzplay Sports app |