Napoli vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Napoli - Lecce
Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 29
  • Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
Napoli - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.76
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
77
Passes
88% (527/601)75% (184/245)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.59
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
711
Passes
88% (527/601)75% (184/245)
Long passes
59% (19/32)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
80% (103/128)61% (42/69)
Crosses
17% (3/18)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.49
Throw ins
2423
Fouls
117
Tackles
50% (9/18)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
1724
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.591.21
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Siebert J. , Gallo A. (A),
  • 19', Siebert J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Elmas E. , McTominay S. ,
  • 46', Anguissa F. , De Bruyne K. ,
  • 46', Coulibaly L. , Gandelman O. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Hojlund R. , Politano M. (A),
  • 59', Stulic N. , Cheddira W. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Politano M. ,
  • 73', Politano M. , Gutierrez M. ,
  • 73', Spinazzola L. , Mazzocchi P. ,
  • 79', Pierotti S. , Ndri K. ,
  • 79', Gallo A. , Ndaba C. ,
  • 85', Alisson Santos , Giovane ,
  • 86', Ngom O. , Fofana S. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
66.1%
Draw
22.3%
Lecce
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.6% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9% 19.6% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Napoli - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.37)
    4.31
    (4.63)
    8.45
    (9.56)
    4.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Lecce?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
      • EH -1 - Napoli (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Napoli (2.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 71.15%95.51%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lecce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury) Vergara A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Gallo A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Lecce were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    26.10.2024 Napoli - Lecce 1:0
    26.05.2024 Napoli - Lecce 0:0
    30.09.2023 Lecce - Napoli 0:4
    Latest results of Napoli
    06.03.2026 Napoli - Torino 2:1
    28.02.2026 Verona - Napoli 1:2
    22.02.2026 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1
    15.02.2026 Napoli - Roma 2:2
    10.02.2026 Napoli - Como 1:2
    Latest results of Lecce
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2
    08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lazio43106:3310
    2AS Roma330010:199
    3Inter33008:359
    4Cagliari43014:229
    5AC Milan42207:438
    6Como32107:347
    7Juventus32104:137
    8Frosinone42117:437
    9Atalanta42025:506
    10Udinese31115:504
    11Sassuolo31115:504
    12Napoli31025:503
    13Torino31024:5-13
    14Lecce31022:5-33
    15Fiorentina41035:11-63
    16Bologna30122:4-21
    17Parma30121:4-31
    18Monza30124:8-41
    19Genoa40132:8-61
    20Venezia40044:11-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Lecce?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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    boliviaBoliviaESPN 4
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN 4
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    franceFranceDAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
    kuwaitKuwaitShasha
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    norwayNorwayVG+
    paraguayParaguayESPN 4
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 4, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
    worldWorldStarzplay Sports app
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