Napoli vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Super Cup Napoli - Bologna
Result
2:0
22/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Cup - Final
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Napoli - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.95
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
85% (380/447)87% (394/451)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.90
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
159
Passes
85% (380/447)87% (394/451)
Long passes
44% (23/52)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
73% (102/139)78% (73/93)
Crosses
15% (2/13)9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.58
Throw-ins
1421
Fouls
915
Tackles
67% (6/9)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
1729
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.900.84
Goals prevented
0.90-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, David Neres , Politano M. (A),
  • 44', Heggem T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Odgaard J. , Moro N. ,
  • 50', Cambiaghi N. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 0, David Neres ,
  • 68', Elmas E. , Lang N. ,
  • 68', Spinazzola L. , Gutierrez M. ,
  • 69', Cambiaghi N. , Rowe J. ,
  • 69', Ferguson L. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 77', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 78', David Neres , Mazzocchi P. ,
  • 79', Politano M. 🟨,
  • 79', Castro S. , Immobile C. ,
  • 80', Orsolini R. , Dominguez B. ,
  • 84', Juan Jesus , Buongiorno A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/26wwsk5m

Chances of winning


Napoli
45.4%
Draw
29.6%
Bologna
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.2% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 27.9% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Napoli - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.94)
    3.24
    (3.54)
    3.83
    (4.16)
    4.5%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Bologna?
    • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 39 - 75%). Bologna will win (votes: 2 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.2%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 63.2%86.8%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Bologna (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH 0 - Napoli (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Bologna (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - King Saud University Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1.
    • Napoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bologna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Napoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 47:21. (average 2.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Bologna were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Bologna - Napoli 2:0
    07.04.2025 Bologna - Napoli 1:1
    25.08.2024 Napoli - Bologna 3:0
    11.05.2024 Napoli - Bologna 0:2
    24.09.2023 Bologna - Napoli 0:0
    Latest results of Napoli
    18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0
    14.12.2025 Udinese - Napoli 1:0
    10.12.2025 Benfica - Napoli 2:0
    07.12.2025 Napoli - Juventus 2:1
    03.12.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    19.12.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 2:1
    14.12.2025 Bologna - Juventus 0:1
    11.12.2025 Celta de Vigo - Bologna 1:2
    07.12.2025 Lazio - Bologna 1:1
    04.12.2025 Bologna - Parma 2:1
    Draw
    2025

    Semi-finals
    1NapoliAC Milan2 : 0
    2BolognaInter2 : 1

    Final
    1NapoliBologna2 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Bologna?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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