Roma vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A
Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 30
  • Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
Roma - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.831.08
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
23
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
102
Passes
82% (470/575)66% (185/281)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.831.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.23
Total shots
148
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
50
Free kicks
1714
Passes
82% (470/575)66% (185/281)
Long passes
31% (15/48)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
69% (108/156)43% (25/58)
Crosses
32% (7/22)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.67
Throw ins
3017
Fouls
1417
Tackles
50% (4/8)46% (13/28)
Duels won
5671
Clearances
1839
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.230.32
Goals prevented
0.23-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mancini G. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
  • 51', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Vaz R. ⚽, Hermoso M. (A),
  • 61', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
  • 61', Gandelman O. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
  • 67', Banda L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
  • 75', Tsimikas K. ↓, Angelino ↑,
  • 75', Malen D. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
  • 77', Angelino 🟨,
  • 79', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
  • 81', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 85', Pierotti S. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
  • 85', Ramadani Y. ↓, Sala A. ↑,
  • 89', Pisilli N. 🟨,
  • 90', Veiga D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roma
64%		Draw
23.4%		Lecce
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 20.6% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 18.8% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Roma - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↑
    (1.37)    		 4.1 ↓
    (4.58)    		 7.55 ↓
    (9.15)    		 4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Roma - Lecce?
    • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 42 - 80.8%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 9.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 70.1% – 91.5%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • 1X2, 1st Half - Roma (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Roma (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • 1X2, 2nd Half - Roma (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Lecce (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4.
    • Roma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lecce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Roma is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury) Wesley Franca (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Roma won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Lecce were as follows:
    06.01.2026 Lecce - Roma 0:2
    29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1
    07.12.2024 Roma - Lecce 4:1
    01.04.2024 Lecce - Roma 0:0
    05.11.2023 Roma - Lecce 2:1
    Latest results of Roma
    19.03.2026 Roma - Bologna 3:4 ✺
    15.03.2026 Como - Roma 2:1 ✺
    12.03.2026 Bologna - Roma 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Genoa - Roma 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Roma - Juventus 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Lecce
    14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter38276589:355487
    2Napoli38237858:362276
    3AS Roma382341159:312873
    4Como382011765:293671
    5AC Milan382010853:351870
    6Juventus381912761:342769
    7Atalanta381514951:361559
    8Bologna381681449:46356
    9Lazio3814121241:40154
    10Udinese381481645:48-350
    11Sassuolo381471746:50-449
    12Torino381291744:63-1945
    13Parma3811121528:46-1845
    14Cagliari3811101740:53-1343
    15Fiorentina389151441:50-942
    16Genoa3810111741:51-1041
    17Lecce381082028:50-2238
    18Cremonese388102032:57-2534
    19Verona383122325:61-3621
    20Pisa382122426:71-4518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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