Lecce vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Lecce - Napoli
Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 35
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Lecce - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.310.58
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (331/385)89% (440/497)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.310.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.41
Total shots
98
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
411
Passes
86% (331/385)89% (440/497)
Long passes
55% (30/55)58% (34/59)
Passes in final third
77% (88/115)64% (63/98)
Crosses
24% (5/21)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.28
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
114
Tackles
50% (6/12)50% (7/14)
Duels won
3435
Clearances
2621
Interceptions
210
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.410.04
Goals prevented
-0.590.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Raspadori G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kaba M. , Tete Morente ,
  • 46', Karlsson J. , Helgason T. J. ,
  • 54', Lobotka S. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 63', Guilbert F. , Veiga D. ,
  • 66', Pierret B. , Berisha M. ,
  • 66', Krstovic N. 🟨,
  • 79', Raspadori G. , Billing P. ,
  • 82', Tete Morente 🟨,
  • 84', Pierotti S. , Ndri K. ,
  • 87', Lukaku R. , Simeone G. ,
  • 88', Politano M. , Ngonge C. ,

Chances of winning


Lecce 12.6%Draw 23.4%Napoli 64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Lecce 16.5%Draw 24.4%Napoli 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Lecce 16.3%Draw 24.2%Napoli 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Lecce - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.57
    (5.84)
    4.09
    (3.94)
    1.5
    (1.63)
    4.2%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lecce - Napoli?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Napoli will win! (102 of 113 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
    • Lecce is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Napoli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Scott E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Calf Injury) Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Injury) Contini N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Napoli were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Napoli - Lecce 1:0
    26.05.2024 Napoli - Lecce 0:0
    30.09.2023 Lecce - Napoli 0:4
    07.04.2023 Lecce - Napoli 1:2
    31.08.2022 Napoli - Lecce 1:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1
    19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3
    12.04.2025 Juventus - Lecce 2:1
    06.04.2025 Lecce - Venezia 1:1
    29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0
    07.04.2025 Bologna - Napoli 1:1
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 35238455:253077
    2Inter ✔ 35228573:334074
    3Atalanta35208771:314068
    4Juventus351615452:322063
    5AS Roma35189850:321863
    6Lazio35189858:451363
    7Bologna351614553:381562
    8Fiorentina351781053:351859
    9AC Milan351691055:391657
    10Como351291445:48-345
    11Torino3510141139:40-144
    12Udinese351281538:49-1144
    13Genoa359121430:43-1339
    14Cagliari35891836:51-1533
    15Verona35952130:63-3332
    16Parma356141540:54-1432
    17Lecce35692024:57-3327
    18Venezia354141728:49-2126
    19Empoli354131827:55-2825
    20Monza ✔ 35292425:63-3815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lecce - Napoli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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