Toulouse vs Nantes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Nantes
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Toulouse - Nantes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toulouse
53.7%
Draw
27.2%
Nantes
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Toulouse - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.77)
    3.52
    (3.6)
    5.07
    (4.69)
    3.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Injury) Vossah A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Nantes were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0
    18.08.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 0:0
    11.02.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 1:2
    13.08.2023 Nantes - Toulouse 1:2
    14.05.2023 Toulouse - Nantes 0:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    20.09.2025 Nantes - Rennes 2:2
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marseille640212:5712
    2PSG540110:4612
    3Monaco640214:10412
    4Lyon54017:3412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille531113:8510
    7Lens53028:539
    8Rennes52217:8-18
    9Lorient62139:14-57
    10Toulouse52037:9-26
    11Auxerre52034:6-26
    12Paris FC52039:12-36
    13Nice52036:9-36
    14Angers51223:4-15
    15Brest51139:11-24
    16Le Havre51136:8-24
    17Nantes51133:5-24
    18Metz50145:13-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Nantes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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