Result
1:4
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (337/448) | 73% (271/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (337/448) | 73% (271/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 37% (25/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (111/176) | 52% (41/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.44 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 9', Lepenant J. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
- 17', Abdi A. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 2, Cho M. ⚽, Sanson M. (A),
- 38', Abline M. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 3, Diop S. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 3, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Awaziem C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 70', Diop S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 70', Wahi E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 81', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Dante ↑,
- 81', Sissoko I. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
- 86', Sanson M. 🟨,
- 87', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 89', Cho M. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
- 89', Sanson M. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Louchet T. ⚽, Ndombele T. (A),
Chances of winning
Nantes
34.5% | Draw
28.3% | Nice
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)
Nantes - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(3.05) |
3.36 ↓
(3.41) |
2.55 ↑
(2.29) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Nice?
- Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 20.8% – 59.2%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Nice (votes: 1 - 50%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- DC - Nantes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Nantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Nice (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 60%). Nice (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.
- Nantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nice is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Boga J.
(Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Moffi T.
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Injury)
Machado D.
(Injury)
Tabibou D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nice: Bard M.
(Groin Injury)
Bernardeau G.
(Inactive)
Boudaoui H.
(Inactive)
Coulibaly D.
(Inactive)
Dante
(Inactive)
Diop S.
(Injury)
Diouf Y.
(Inactive)
Mendy A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Nice?
Nantes has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Nantes?
Nice has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Nice were as follows:
11.01.2026
Nantes
-
Nice
1:2
13.09.2025
Nice
-
Nantes
1:0
04.04.2025
Nice
-
Nantes
1:2
20.10.2024
Nantes
-
Nice
1:1
31.03.2024
Nice
-
Nantes
1:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Nantes - Nice?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
