Nice vs Montpellier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Allianz Riviera (Nice).

: Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.72	1.35
Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
22	13
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
87% (537/616)	77% (252/327)
Yellow cards
0	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.72	1.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.29	1.10
Total shots
22	13
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked shots
9	6
Shots inside the box
11	10
Shots outside the box
11	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
28	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
13	16
Passes
87% (537/616)	77% (252/327)
Long passes
61% (27/44)	49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
73% (132/180)	59% (41/69)
Crosses
11% (4/35)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.87
Throw ins
25	14
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
81% (17/21)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
52	52
Clearances
8	44
Interceptions
13	17
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.10	2.29
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Peprah K. (Own goal),
32', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
44', Savanier T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mantsounga B. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
46', Peprah K. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
64', El Hannach N. ↓, Tchato E. ↑,
64', Diallo Z. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
64', Savanier T. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
64', Jansson I. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Mendy A. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Boudache K. ⚽, Wahi E. (A),
82', Omeragic B. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Mendy A. ⚽,
90+2', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
90+4', Laporte J. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Diop S. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),

Chances of winning

Nice
53.3%

Draw
24.5%

Montpellier
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Nice - Montpellier Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	3.83 ↓ (4.03)	4.32 ↓ (4.43)	5.8% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nice - Montpellier?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 60%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Montpellier (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nice is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Montpellier?

Nice has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Nice?

Montpellier has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Montpellier were as follows:

23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0

15.12.2024 Montpellier - Nice 2:2

08.03.2024 Nice - Montpellier 1:2

07.02.2024 Montpellier - Nice 1:4

10.11.2023 Montpellier - Nice 0:0

Latest results of Nice

01.02.2026 Nice - Brest 2:2 ✺

29.01.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice 1:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4 ✺

22.01.2026 Nice - Go Ahead Eagles 3:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Toulouse - Nice 5:1 ✺

Latest results of Montpellier

30.01.2026 Montpellier - Guingamp 3:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Bastia - Montpellier 0:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Boulogne - Montpellier 1:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Metz - Montpellier 0:4 ✺

05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkerque 1:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/128-finals

1	Saint-Brice Courcelles	Bogny	1 : 2
2	Camon	Lusitanos	0 : 7
4	Bye	Lille
5	Lyon	Bye
7	Saint-Cyr Collonges	Thonon-Evian	1 : 0
8	FC Rhone	Grasse	2 : 1
9	Seyssinet	Aubagne	1 : 0
10	SS Allinges	Istres	1 : 2
11	SA Merignac	Colomiers	1 : 0
12	Trelissac	Pau FC	0 : 2
13	Stade Quimperlois	Ancienne Chateau-Gontier	0 : 9
14	St. Colomban Locmine	Guingamp	1 : 2
15	Le Cellier Mauves	Laval	0 : 6
16	Saint-Pauloise	Dominicaine	1 : 0
17	Espoir	Eveil	1 : 0
18	Challans	Pontivy	0 : 2
19	Sable	Saint-Malo	0 : 1
20	US Chateau-Malo	Bastia	0 : 6
21	Olympique Marcquois	Aire-sur-la-Lys	5 : 0
22	Longuenesse	Bondues	0 : 2
23	Touraine	Epernay	2 : 1
24	Aizenay	Troyes	0 : 3
25	Villars-l'Isle	Sarre Union	1 : 2
26	Pontarlier	Sochaux	2 : 3
27	Steenvoorde	Chambly	2 : 1
28	Loon Plage	Bethune	1 : 2
29	Lens	Bye
31	APM Metz	Fleury-Merogis	3 : 2
32	Cambrai	Feignies-Aulnoye	0 : 4
33	Yvetot	ASPTT Caen	2 : 1
34	Bayeux	Caen	3 : 2
35	Le Poinconnet	Romorantin	0 : 2
36	Blois	Clermont	2 : 1
37	Marseille	Bye
39	Mauguio Carnon	Selongey	0 : 1
40	Atlas Paillade	Bourg en Bresse	0 : 2
41	Cormontreuil	Porto Portugais	5 : 2
42	Premontre	Chantilly	0 : 3
43	Wittenheim	Freyming	2 : 3
44	Besancon	Thionville	4 : 0
45	Pen Hir	Les Sables	1 : 2
46	Plouvorn	Vitre	2 : 1
48	Bye	Rennes
49	Pledran	Plabennec	0 : 2
50	Orvault	Les Herbiers	1 : 3
52	Bye	Angers
53	Pierrelatte	Lyon - La Duchere	0 : 2
54	Carnoux F.C.	Pirae	5 : 1
56	Bye	Toulouse
57	Montreuil	Bandrele	1 : 0
58	Granville	Dinan	3 : 1
59	Gouzon Avenir	Chauvigny	1 : 5
60	Lapalisse	Stade Poitevin	1 : 2
61	Le Havre	Bye
63	Reims Ste Anne	GFC Ajaccio	2 : 1
64	Auby	Amiens	0 : 3
65	Brest	Bye
67	Avranches	Paris 13 Atl.	1 : 0
68	SA Beaumont	Aubervilliers	4 : 7
69	Strasbourg	Bye
71	ES Cappelle	Abbeville	2 : 3
72	Boulogne	Dunkerque	2 : 3
73	Saint-Jean	Angouleme CFC	1 : 0
74	Orleans	Bayonne	3 : 0
75	JA Drancy	Beauvais	0 : 1
76	Saint Amand	Dieppe	0 : 3
77	Auxerre	Bye
80	Bye	Monaco
81	Montreal-la-Cluse	Chalon	0 : 3
82	ASPTT Dijon	Le Puy-en-Velay	0 : 1
83	FC 2 Rives 82	Mazeres	0 : 1
84	EBBE	Bordeaux	0 : 1
85	IC Croix	Racing CFF	3 : 2
86	Etoile Matoury	Le Geldar	1 : 2
87	Avion	Torcy	0 : 2
88	OCPAM	Reims	0 : 1
89	Etoile Bobigny	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	1 : 2
90	Ivry	Le Mans	1 : 2
91	Saint-Meziery	Perigny	1 : 2
92	Montmorillon	Beaucouze	0 : 1
93	Cannes	Annecy	1 : 2
94	Olympique de Villefontaine	Grenoble	0 : 3
95	Sarreguemines	Furiani Agliani	5 : 3
96	GSA Tomblaine	Nancy	0 : 5
97	Seignosse Capbreton	Marmande	2 : 3
98	Bassin d'Arcachon	Blagnac	4 : 1
99	Andrezieux	Hauts Lyonnais	1 : 2
100	Savigneux Montbrison	Feurs	3 : 5
101	Lorient	Bye
103	Moulien	AS Le Gosier	2 : 3
104	Oissel	Quevilly Rouen	3 : 2
105	PSG	Bye
107	Fontenay	Chamalieres	1 : 0
108	Biars-Bretenoux	Chateauroux	0 : 2
109	Paris FC	Bye
111	Mutzig	Raon L Etape	0 : 3
112	Magenta	Mulhouse	0 : 3
113	Les Bleuets	Concarneau	0 : 3
114	St. Renan	Stade Briochin	0 : 4
116	Bye	Nantes
117	Nice	Bye
119	Nord Lozere	Ecotay Moingt	4 : 5
120	Quetigny	St Etienne	1 : 3
121	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	Biesheim	2 : 3
122	Forbach	Red Star	0 : 2
124	Bye	Metz
125	Auch	Canet Roussillon	1 : 4
126	Lavaur	Rodez	1 : 3
127	Montceau	L'Etrat La Tour	2 : 1
128	Agde	Montpellier	0 : 2

1/64-finals

1	Bogny	Lusitanos	0 : 3
2	Bye	Lille
3	Lyon	Bye
4	Saint-Cyr Collonges	FC Rhone	1 : 0
5	Seyssinet	Istres	0 : 2
6	SA Merignac	Pau FC	1 : 0
7	Ancienne Chateau-Gontier	Guingamp	0 : 4
8	Laval	Saint-Pauloise	6 : 0
9	Espoir	Pontivy	0 : 4
10	Saint-Malo	Bastia	0 : 1
11	Olympique Marcquois	Bondues	2 : 0
12	Touraine	Troyes	0 : 2
13	Sarre Union	Sochaux	0 : 6
14	Steenvoorde	Bethune	0 : 1
15	Lens	Bye
16	APM Metz	Feignies-Aulnoye	0 : 2
17	Yvetot	Bayeux	0 : 1
18	Romorantin	Blois	2 : 3
19	Marseille	Bye
20	Selongey	Bourg en Bresse	2 : 3
21	Cormontreuil	Chantilly	1 : 2
22	Freyming	Besancon	1 : 0
23	Les Sables	Plouvorn	2 : 1
24	Bye	Rennes
25	Plabennec	Les Herbiers	1 : 2
26	Bye	Angers
27	Lyon - La Duchere	Carnoux F.C.	3 : 1
28	Bye	Toulouse
29	Montreuil	Granville	2 : 1
30	Chauvigny	Stade Poitevin	4 : 3
31	Le Havre	Bye
32	Reims Ste Anne	Amiens	0 : 4
33	Brest	Bye
34	Avranches	Aubervilliers	2 : 1
35	Strasbourg	Bye
36	Abbeville	Dunkerque	0 : 5
37	Saint-Jean	Orleans	1 : 2
38	Beauvais	Dieppe	1 : 2
39	Auxerre	Bye
40	Bye	Monaco
41	Chalon	Le Puy-en-Velay	0 : 1
42	Mazeres	Bordeaux	3 : 4
43	IC Croix	Le Geldar	2 : 1
44	Torcy	Reims	1 : 5
45	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	Le Mans	2 : 3
46	Perigny	Beaucouze	3 : 1
47	Annecy	Grenoble	1 : 2
48	Sarreguemines	Nancy	3 : 4
49	Marmande	Bassin d'Arcachon	0 : 1
50	Hauts Lyonnais	Feurs	2 : 1
51	Lorient	Bye
52	AS Le Gosier	Oissel	3 : 2
53	PSG	Bye
54	Fontenay	Chateauroux	4 : 1
55	Paris FC	Bye
56	Raon L Etape	Mulhouse	3 : 2
57	Concarneau	Stade Briochin	1 : 0
58	Bye	Nantes
59	Nice	Bye
60	Ecotay Moingt	St Etienne	1 : 11
61	Biesheim	Red Star	2 : 1
62	Bye	Metz
63	Canet Roussillon	Rodez	1 : 0
64	Montceau	Montpellier	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Lusitanos	Lille	0 : 1
2	Lyon	Saint-Cyr Collonges	3 : 0
3	Istres	SA Merignac	1 : 0
4	Guingamp	Laval	0 : 1
5	Pontivy	Bastia	0 : 1
6	Olympique Marcquois	Troyes	1 : 3
7	Sochaux	Bethune	4 : 2
8	Lens	Feignies-Aulnoye	3 : 1
9	Bayeux	Blois	2 : 1
10	Marseille	Bourg en Bresse	6 : 0
11	Chantilly	Freyming	3 : 0
12	Les Sables	Rennes	0 : 3
13	Les Herbiers	Angers	0 : 1
14	Lyon - La Duchere	Toulouse	1 : 2
15	Montreuil	Chauvigny	2 : 1
16	Le Havre	Amiens	0 : 2
17	Brest	Avranches	1 : 2
18	Strasbourg	Dunkerque	2 : 1
19	Orleans	Dieppe	3 : 0
20	Auxerre	Monaco	1 : 2
21	Le Puy-en-Velay	Bordeaux	1 : 0
22	IC Croix	Reims	0 : 4
23	Le Mans	Perigny	2 : 1
24	Grenoble	Nancy	1 : 2
25	Bassin d'Arcachon	Hauts Lyonnais	0 : 1
26	Lorient	AS Le Gosier	7 : 0
27	PSG	Fontenay	4 : 0
28	Paris FC	Raon L Etape	3 : 0
29	Concarneau	Nantes	3 : 5
30	Nice	St Etienne	2 : 1
31	Biesheim	Metz	0 : 3
32	Canet Roussillon	Montpellier	0 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Lille	Lyon	1 : 2
2	Istres	Laval	0 : 2
3	Bastia	Troyes	0 : 2
4	Sochaux	Lens	0 : 3
5	Bayeux	Marseille	0 : 9
6	Chantilly	Rennes	1 : 3
7	Angers	Toulouse	1 : 2
8	Montreuil	Amiens	2 : 4
9	Avranches	Strasbourg	0 : 6
10	Orleans	Monaco	1 : 3
11	Le Puy-en-Velay	Reims	0 : 1
12	Le Mans	Nancy	1 : 0
13	Hauts Lyonnais	Lorient	1 : 3
14	PSG	Paris FC	0 : 1
15	Nantes	Nice	1 : 2
16	Metz	Montpellier	0 : 4

1/8-finals

1	Lyon	Laval	2 : 0
2	Troyes	Lens	2 : 4
3	Marseille	Rennes	3 : 0
4	Toulouse	Amiens	1 : 0
5	Strasbourg	Monaco	3 : 1
6	Reims	Le Mans	3 : 0
7	Lorient	Paris FC	2 : 0
8	Nice	Montpellier	3 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Lyon	Lens	2 : 3
2	Marseille	Toulouse	2 : 3
3	Strasbourg	Reims	2 : 1
4	Lorient	Nice	0 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Lens	Toulouse	4 : 1
2	Strasbourg	Nice	0 : 2

Final

1

Lens

Nice

3 : 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Nice - Montpellier?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	ZhiBo8
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	TVC Deportes 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter