Nantes vs Rennes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Nantes - Rennes
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
Nantes - Rennes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (280/350)87% (430/493)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.55
Total shots
168
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
80% (280/350)87% (430/493)
Long passes
47% (21/45)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
60% (50/83)79% (101/128)
Crosses
21% (4/19)0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.53
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1417
Tackles
71% (10/14)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4336
Clearances
1422
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.551.80
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Tati T. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Blas L. (Pen),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. , Seidu A. (A),
  • 38', Mostafa Mohamed 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rongier V. , Cisse D. ,
  • 46', Seidu A. , Brassier L. ,
  • 63', Cisse D. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Mwanga J. ,
  • 65', Embolo B. , Tamari M. ,
  • 66', Tati T. , Coquelin F. ,
  • 67', Mostafa Mohamed , Benhattab Y. ,
  • 69', Lahdo M. 🟨,
  • 70', Blas L. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 77', Coquelin F. , Tabibou D. ,
  • 78', Lahdo M. , Camara A. ,
  • 81', Lepaul E. , Meite M. ,
  • 82', Cozza N. , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 90+1', Leroux L. , Radakovic U. ,
  • 90+1', Abline M. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, El Arabi Y. , Abline M. (A),

Chances of winning


Nantes
25.5%
Draw
28%
Rennes
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.8% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantes's form might have worsened.
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nantes - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (2.78)
    3.45
    (3.37)
    2.06
    (2.48)
    3.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nantes - Rennes?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Rennes will win (votes: 17 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 44.8%81.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
    • Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rennes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Centonze F. (Injury) Guirassy B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Groin Injury) Frankowski P. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Rennes were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Nantes - Rennes 1:3
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1
    08.12.2024 Nantes - Rennes 1:0
    20.04.2024 Nantes - Rennes 0:3
    01.10.2023 Rennes - Nantes 3:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    Latest results of Rennes
    14.09.2025 Rennes - Lyon 3:1
    31.08.2025 Angers - Rennes 1:1
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    09.08.2025 Rennes - Genoa 2:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monaco540113:7612
    2PSG540110:4612
    3Lyon54017:3412
    4Strasbourg54018:5312
    5Lille531113:8510
    6Marseille530210:469
    7Lens53028:539
    8Rennes52217:8-18
    9Toulouse52037:9-26
    10Auxerre52034:6-26
    11Paris FC52039:12-36
    12Nice52036:9-36
    13Angers51223:4-15
    14Brest51139:11-24
    15Le Havre51136:8-24
    16Nantes51133:5-24
    17Lorient51136:13-74
    18Metz50145:13-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nantes - Rennes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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