NAC Breda vs Zwolle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda).

: Eredivisie - Round 31
Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	1.45
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
79% (335/422)	81% (351/434)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	2.63
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
0	3
Shots inside the Box
7	11
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
27	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	7
Passes
79% (335/422)	81% (351/434)
Long passes
58% (35/60)	41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
71% (80/113)	64% (67/104)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	1.41
Throw-ins
30	12
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
71% (15/21)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
54	59
Clearances
19	32
Interceptions
3	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
2.63	0.48
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Sowah K. 🟨,
20', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
27', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Vente D. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Namli Y. ⚽, Thomas R. (A),
64', Valerius C. 🟨,
66', Leemans C. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
66', Sowah K. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
66', Omarsson E. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
79', Valerius C. ↓, Busi M. ↑,
82', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Velanas O. ⚽,
84', Namli Y. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
84', Krastev F. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
89', Floranus S. ↓, van der Haar D. ↑,
89', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, de Rooij K. ⚽, Velanas O. (A),
90+2', 1 - 3, Kostorz K. ⚽,

Chances of winning

NAC Breda
43.9%

Draw
27.6%

Zwolle
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

NAC Breda - Zwolle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)	4.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Zwolle?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Zwolle will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
Recent form of Breda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Zwolle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Breda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Breda: Kuijpers R. (Inactive) Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
There will not play in Zwolle: Aertssen O. (Injury) Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Zwolle: Graves S. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Zwolle?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against NAC Breda?

Zwolle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Zwolle were as follows:

20.10.2024 Zwolle - NAC Breda 1:2

17.03.2023 Zwolle - NAC Breda 2:0

19.11.2022 NAC Breda - Zwolle 0:2

Latest results of NAC Breda

24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1 ✺

29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1 ✺

20.03.2025 Club Brugge - NAC Breda 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Zwolle

25.04.2025 Feyenoord - Zwolle 4:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Zwolle - Twente 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Almere City - Zwolle 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Zwolle - Waalwijk 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

Which TV channels are streaming of NAC Breda - Zwolle?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
China	K-Ball
Kenya	Gotv
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra