Ajax vs NAC Breda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - NAC Breda
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
Ajax - NAC Breda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.58
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
82% (372/451)80% (344/430)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.34
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (372/451)80% (344/430)
Long passes
52% (23/44)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
71% (70/98)64% (94/147)
Crosses
29% (2/7)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.74
Throw-ins
1223
Fouls
1114
Tackles
68% (13/19)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5649
Clearances
4216
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.342.62
Goals prevented
0.340.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gloukh O. , Godts M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
  • 39', Hillen R. 🟨,
  • 40', Itakura K. 🟨,
  • 41', Nassoh M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Konadu D. , Mokio J. ,
  • 46', Edvardsen O. , Moro R. ,
  • 46', 2 - 1, Taylor K. ,
  • 64', Balard M. 🟨,
  • 71', Balard M. 🟨,
  • 74', Talvitie J. , Brym C. ,
  • 76', Godts M. , Berghuis S. ,
  • 81', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 82', Lucassen B. , Valerius C. ,
  • 82', Nassoh M. , Paula R. ,
  • 84', Gloukh O. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 84', Klaassen D. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 88', Sowah K. , Versluis D. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
80.7%
Draw
13.3%
NAC Breda
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.8% 11% 6.2%

Ajax - NAC Breda Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.2
(1.13)
7.59
(8.5)
17.53
(15)
2.1%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ajax - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) Weghorst W. (Back Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Wijndal O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:6. (average 3.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 3.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - NAC Breda were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    18.08.2024 NAC Breda - Ajax 2:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV12101140:172331
    2Feyenoord1291231:121928
    3AZ Alkmaar1273225:18724
    4Ajax1255222:17520
    5Utrecht1261522:16619
    6Groningen1261517:17019
    7Nijmegen1253429:20918
    8Twente1244420:18216
    9G.A. Eagles1244419:18116
    10Sittard1251618:20-216
    11Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    12Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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