Lille vs Montpellier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lille - Montpellier
Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
Lille - Montpellier - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.29
Ball Possession
76%24%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
71
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
02
Fouls
1112
Throw-ins
1715
Touches in the Opposition Box
305
Passes
90% (689/762)76% (177/232)
Passes in the final third
83% (211/255)73% (45/62)
Crosses
35% (7/20)0% (0/6)
Tackles
59% (10/17)88% (14/16)
Clearances Total
927
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 36', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bakker M. , Ismaily ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, David J. , Ismaily (A),
  • 67', Meunier T. , Mandi A. ,
  • 68', David J. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 68', Mouanga Y. , Maamma O. ,
  • 71', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
  • 75', Nzingoula R. , Pays N. ,
  • 76', Coulibaly T. , Khazri W. ,
  • 76', Haraldsson H. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 78', Kouyate K. 🟨,
  • 84', Diakite B. 🟨,
  • 85', Sacko F. , Ndollo Bille W. ,
  • 86', Bouaddi A. , Bentaleb N. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
67%
Draw
20%
Montpellier
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 19.3% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 18.3% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Lille - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.41)
    4.81
    (4.95)
    7.36
    (7.44)
    4.7%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS En Español
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Montpellier?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 3.
    • Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montpellier has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Yellow Cards) Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maamma O. (Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury) Sylla I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Sahraoui O. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Montpellier were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Montpellier - Lille 2:2
    28.01.2024 Montpellier - Lille 0:0
    03.09.2023 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    16.04.2023 Lille - Montpellier 2:1
    04.09.2022 Montpellier - Lille 1:3
    Latest results of Lille
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1
    16.02.2025 Rennes - Lille 0:2
    08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    02.03.2025 Montpellier - Rennes 0:4
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0
    16.02.2025 Montpellier - Lyon 1:4
    09.02.2025 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0
    31.01.2025 Montpellier - Lens 0:2
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ByeMetz
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Montpellier?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
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    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
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    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
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