Result
4:1
16/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Mirassol - Grêmio live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/369) | 89% (466/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/369) | 89% (466/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 67% (33/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (44/63) | 82% (155/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Daniel Borges ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 15', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
- 18', Tiago Volpi 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
- 30', Gabriel ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Camilo Reijers ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 46', Cristaldo F. ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 57', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 57', Cristian Renato ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 60', Villasanti M. 🟨,
- 64', Negueba 🟨,
- 65', Pavon C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 66', Edenilson 🟨,
- 77', Villasanti M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
- 80', Iury Castilho ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 80', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Braithwaite M. ⚽, Arezo M. (A),
- 84', Amuzu F. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 85', 4 - 1, Daniel Borges ⚽, Clayson (A),
- 87', Daniel Borges 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
38.1% | Draw
31% | Grêmio
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirassol - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(3.02) |
3.07 ↓
(3.13) |
3.03 ↑
(2.47) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Mirassol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Grêmio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Olivera C.
(Inactive)
Walter Kannemann
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Negueba
(Inactive)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Luis Eduardo
(Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
- Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Grêmio?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Mirassol?
Grêmio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Grêmio were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Mirassol - Grêmio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
