Result
2:0
02/09/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 4
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/633) | 88% (427/484) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/633) | 88% (427/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (100/129) | 74% (84/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.59 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 31', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 43', 2 - 0, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Evertton Araujo ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
- 46', Walter ↓, Alex Muralha ↑,
- 46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 62', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
- 66', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 66', Igor Formiga ↓, Elias ↑,
- 73', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 73', Carrascal J. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 79', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Santos ↑,
- 79', Cazonatti G. ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 81', Denilson 🟨,
- 82', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
79.5% | Draw
13.9% | Mirassol
6.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Flamengo - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.2 ↓
(1.42) |
6.73 ↑
(4.15) |
14.26 ↑
(7.47) |
5.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Mirassol?
- Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Flamengo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mirassol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Jorginho
(Thigh Injury)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Daniel Borges
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Eduardo
(Injury)
Igor Formiga
(Inactive)
Reinaldo
(Injury)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Yuri Lara
(Red Card)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Mirassol?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Flamengo?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Mirassol were as follows:
16.08.2026
Mirassol
-
Flamengo
1:5
06.12.2025
Mirassol
-
Flamengo
3:3
09.08.2025
Flamengo
-
Mirassol
2:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
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