Result
1:2
02/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (455/507) | 83% (361/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (455/507) | 83% (361/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (29/49) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (132/168) | 63% (41/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/34) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Soteldo Y. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Soteldo Y. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
- 54', 1 - 2, Andre Henrique ⚽, Willian (A),
- 56', Alysson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 58', Dodi 🟨,
- 61', Arthur Melo 🟨,
- 68', Willian ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 68', Dodi ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 69', Soteldo Y. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 69', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 76', Nonato ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 76', Serna K. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 76', Andre Henrique ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 76', Pavon C. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 78', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
- 86', Lima 🟨,
- 90+2', Samuel Xavier ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
30.7% | Draw
29.9% | Fluminense
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Grêmio - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.63) |
3.17
(3.17) |
2.42 ↓
(2.79) |
5.5%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Fluminense?
- Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fluminense will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 23.1% – 88.1%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- In recent matches, Grêmio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fluminense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Yellow Cards)
Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Inactive)
Olivera C.
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Canobbio A.
(Yellow Cards)
Manoel
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Fluminense?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Grêmio?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Fluminense were as follows:
02.08.2025
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
1:0
01.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
2:2
20.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
3:1
13.08.2024
Grêmio
-
Fluminense
2:1
30.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Fluminense
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - Fluminense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
