Milan vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Milan - Fiorentina
Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 31
  • Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
Milan - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Milan - Fiorentina live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.671.96
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
87% (353/407)88% (327/371)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.671.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.072.89
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3030
Through passes
75% (3/4)100% (1/1)
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
87% (353/407)88% (327/371)
Long passes
48% (15/31)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
70% (74/105)71% (61/86)
Crosses
27% (3/11)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.351.29
Fouls
1212
Tackles
43% (6/14)41% (7/17)
Duels won
3839
Clearances Total
1523
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
2.892.07
Goals prevented
1.890.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. (Own goal),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Kean M. , Dodo (A),
  • 23', 1 - 2, Abraham T. , Pulisic C. (A),
  • 23', Musah Y. , Jovic L. ,
  • 31', Mari P. 🟨,
  • 41', Dodo 🟨,
  • 41', Hernandez T. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Walker K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Abraham T. , Gimenez S. ,
  • 58', Leao R. 🟨,
  • 58', Pulisic C. 🟨,
  • 59', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 59', Cataldi D. , Ndour C. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Jovic L. , Fofana Y. (A),
  • 66', de Gea D. 🟨,
  • 72', Pongracic M. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 72', Parisi F. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 80', Fofana Y. , Bondo W. ,
  • 80', Pulisic C. , Chukwueze S. ,
  • 80', Gimenez S. , Joao Felix ,
  • 88', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 90+2', Palladino R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milan 50.5%Draw 26.5%Fiorentina 23%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Milan 54.3%Draw 24.3%Fiorentina 21.3%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Milan 63.2%Draw 28.3%Fiorentina 18.3%

Milan - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(1.78)
3.63
(3.98)
4.13
(4.54)
4.5%
(3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Fiorentina?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Milan is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal (Calf Injury) Jimenez A. (Yellow Cards) Loftus-Cheek R. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Reijnders T. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 1:2
    25.11.2023 Milan - Fiorentina 1:0
    04.03.2023 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1
    13.11.2022 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    Latest results of Milan
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1
    08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3
    02.03.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter33218472:324071
    2Napoli33218452:252771
    3Atalanta33197766:303664
    4Bologna331612552:371560
    5Juventus331514449:311859
    6Lazio33178855:431259
    7AS Roma33169848:321657
    8Fiorentina33168951:331856
    9AC Milan331491051:381351
    10Torino3310131038:37143
    11Udinese331171536:48-1240
    12Como331091443:48-539
    13Genoa339121229:40-1139
    14Verona33951930:60-3032
    15Parma336131438:51-1331
    16Cagliari33791733:49-1630
    17Lecce33681923:55-3226
    18Venezia334131627:46-1925
    19Empoli334131626:52-2625
    20Monza33292225:57-3215

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Milan - Fiorentina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 1
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football, Setanta Sports
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2, Viaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan