Result
15/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Lazio 23.8% | Draw 27.9% | Milan 48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Lazio - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.02 ↑ (3.77) |
3.46 ↑ (3.34) |
1.99 ↓ (2.02) |
4.1% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lazio - Milan?
- Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Milan will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 61.5% – 95.1%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.
- Recent performances by Lazio have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Milan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Milan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Milan?
Lazio has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lazio?
Milan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Milan were as follows:
04.12.2025
Lazio
-
Milan
1:0
29.11.2025
Milan
-
Lazio
1:0
02.03.2025
Milan
-
Lazio
1:2
31.08.2024
Lazio
-
Milan
2:2
01.03.2024
Lazio
-
Milan
0:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 65:23 | 42 | 68 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 44:20 | 24 | 60 |
| 3 | Napoli | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
| 4 | Como | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 38:21 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Juventus | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Bologna | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Lazio | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Udinese | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Parma | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 | Lecce | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20:37 | -17 | 27 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Verona | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22:49 | -27 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 28 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Lazio - Milan?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: