Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 32
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (289/348) | 92% (620/674) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (289/348) | 92% (620/674) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 65% (15/23) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (47/68) | 81% (134/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.80 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Gosens R. ⚽, Harrison J. (A),
- 31', Rugani D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Basic T. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
- 46', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 63', Noslin T. 🟨,
- 67', Cancellieri M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
- 67', Dia B. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 71', Rugani D. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
- 79', Taylor K. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
- 80', Gosens R. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
- 80', Dodo 🟨,
- 84', Fazzini J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
- 90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pedro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
39.7% | Draw
30.6% | Lazio
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Fiorentina - Lazio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.28) |
3.13 ↑
(3) |
3.22 ↓
(3.56) |
4.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lazio?
- Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Lazio will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.5% – 71.5%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH 0 - Lazio (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Fiorentina (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Lazio has had a series of home games.
- Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lazio?
Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Fiorentina?
Lazio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lazio were as follows:
07.01.2026
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
2:2
26.01.2025
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:2
22.09.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2:1
26.02.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2:1
30.10.2023
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Lazio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
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 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
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 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
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 Japan | DAZN Japan |
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 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
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 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
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 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
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 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
