Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons
Result
82:76
22/08/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 24
Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1111
Behinds
1610
Kicks
232228
Handballs
115168
Disposals
347396
Frees For
2223
Frees Against
2322
Clearances Completed
2638
Marks
123110
Tackles
5040
Hitouts
2828

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 18)
  • 02:30, Daicos J. (Behind),
  • 04:40, Schultz L. (G),
  • 06:16, Maynard B. (G),
  • 08:07, Gawn M. (G),
  • 11:23, Crisp J. (Behind),
  • 15:18, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 16:46, Pickett K. (G),
  • 20:07, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 23:18, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 26:15, Houston D. (Behind),
  • 27:59, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 29:52, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (27 - 15)
  • 03:30, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 05:36, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:29, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 11:38, Melksham J. (G),
  • 12:49, McStay D. (Behind),
  • 14:44, Elliott J. (G),
  • 16:21, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 16:52, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 18:13, De Goey J. (G),
  • 22:03, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 24:21, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 31:44, Oliver C. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 32)
  • 08:29, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 09:58, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 11:24, Pickett K. (G),
  • 12:58, Langford H. (G),
  • 15:12, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 16:25, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 18:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:52, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 24:34, Crisp J. (G),
  • 27:07, Melksham J. (G),
  • 29:51, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (27 - 11)
  • 02:21, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:40, Petracca C. (G),
  • 07:57, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 12:29, Long N. (G),
  • 14:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:52, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 15:43, Elliott J. (G),
  • 17:19, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 19:30, Schultz L. (G),
  • 21:15, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 22:06, McCreery B. (Behind),
  • 23:16, McStay D. (G),
  • 26:52, Petracca C. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
73.5%
Melbourne Demons
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Demons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.38)

    3.4
    (3.1)
    8.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne Demons will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:71.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Collingwood is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1660:1443. (average 83:72.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 549:493. (average 78.4:70.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    09.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 71:72
    23.08.2024 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 57:103
    10.06.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons 89:51
    07.09.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons 60:53
    12.06.2023 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 66:62
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    Main
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Brisbane Lions2316162061:1804114.2566
    4Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    5GWS Giants2316072114:1834115.2764
    6Fremantle Dockers2316071978:1815108.9864
    7Gold Coast Suns2315082173:1740124.8960
    8Hawthorn Hawks2315082045:1691120.9360
    9Western Bulldogs2314092493:1820136.9856
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2390141839:207788.5436
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2360171535:220969.4924
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

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