Manchester United vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Manchester United - Lyon
Result
5:4 ET
17/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
Manchester United - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.44
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
89
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (411/482)87% (600/690)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.44
xG on target (xGOT)
4.613.26
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
1515
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3938
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
85% (411/482)87% (600/690)
Long passes
47% (22/47)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
80% (131/164)79% (172/218)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.571.33
Fouls
1714
Tackles
65% (15/23)74% (17/23)
Duels won
6160
Clearances Total
3925
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
3.264.61
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Ugarte M. , Garnacho A. (A),
  • 18', Veretout J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Dalot D. , Maguire H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Mazraoui N. , Shaw L. ,
  • 50', Garnacho A. 🟨,
  • 55', Veretout J. , Lacazette A. ,
  • 55', Akouokou P. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 64', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 64', Mikautadze G. , Fofana M. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Tolisso C. , Lacazette A. (A),
  • 78', 2 - 2, Tagliafico N. , Maitland-Niles A. (A),
  • 86', Ugarte M. , Mount M. ,
  • 86', Hojlund R. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 89', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (3 - 2)
  • 93', Maguire H. 🟨,
  • 100', Garnacho A. , Eriksen C. ,
  • 100', Dorgu P. , Amass H. ,
  • 105', 2 - 3, Cherki R. ,
  • 106', Cherki R. , Abner Vinicius ,
  • 108', Yoro L. 🟨,
  • 110', 2 - 4, Lacazette A. (Pen),
  • 114', 3 - 4, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 115', Tagliafico N. , Caleta-Car D. ,
  • 120', 4 - 4, Mainoo K. , Casemiro (A),
  • 120+1', 5 - 4, Maguire H. , Casemiro (A),

Chances of winning


Manchester United
56.2%
Draw
23.5%
Lyon
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 25.9% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Manchester United - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.71)
    4.1
    (4.1)
    4.71
    (4.61)
    3.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 65.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 9 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 53.3%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 2 - 25%). Lyon (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Recent matches Man Utd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lyon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Man Utd have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Man Utd is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Lower Back Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Gomes Rodriguez A. (Inactive) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Lyon were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2
    19.07.2023 Manchester United - Lyon 1:0
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Lyon
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita
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