Manchester United vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League
Soccer UEFA Europa League Manchester United - Lyon
Result
5:4 ET
17/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
Manchester United - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.44
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
89
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (411/482)87% (600/690)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.44
xG on target (xGOT)
4.613.26
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
1515
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3938
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
85% (411/482)87% (600/690)
Long passes
47% (22/47)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
80% (131/164)79% (172/218)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.571.33
Fouls
1714
Tackles
65% (15/23)74% (17/23)
Duels won
6160
Clearances Total
3925
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
3.264.61
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Ugarte M. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
  • 18', Veretout J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Dalot D. ⚽, Maguire H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Mazraoui N. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
  • 50', Garnacho A. 🟨,
  • 55', Veretout J. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
  • 55', Akouokou P. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
  • 64', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 64', Mikautadze G. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Lacazette A. (A),
  • 78', 2 - 2, Tagliafico N. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
  • 86', Ugarte M. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
  • 86', Hojlund R. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
  • 89', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (3 - 2)
  • 93', Maguire H. 🟨,
  • 100', Garnacho A. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
  • 100', Dorgu P. ↓, Amass H. ↑,
  • 105', 2 - 3, Cherki R. ⚽,
  • 106', Cherki R. ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
  • 108', Yoro L. 🟨,
  • 110', 2 - 4, Lacazette A. (Pen),
  • 114', 3 - 4, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 115', Tagliafico N. ↓, Caleta-Car D. ↑,
  • 120', 4 - 4, Mainoo K. ⚽, Casemiro (A),
  • 120+1', 5 - 4, Maguire H. ⚽, Casemiro (A),

Chances of winning


Manchester United
56.2%		Draw
23.5%		Lyon
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 25.9% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Manchester United - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↑
    (1.71)    		 4.1
    (4.1)    		 4.71 ↑
    (4.61)    		 3.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 65.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 9 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 53.3% – 76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 2 - 25%). Lyon (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Recent matches Man Utd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lyon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Man Utd have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Man Utd is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Lower Back Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Gomes Rodriguez A. (Inactive) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Lyon were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2
    19.07.2023 Manchester United - Lyon 1:0
    Latest results of Manchester United
    13.04.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester United 4:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Manchester United - Manchester City 0:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester United 1:0 ✺
    13.03.2025 Manchester United - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2 ✺
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0
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