Manchester United vs Burnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Manchester United - Burnley
Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
Manchester United - Burnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.531.20
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
266
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
82% (409/499)71% (218/307)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
3.531.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.66
Total shots
266
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
131
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
195
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (409/499)71% (218/307)
Long passes
58% (33/57)36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
76% (131/173)49% (39/79)
Crosses
50% (12/24)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.39
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
99
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.661.65
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Cullen J. (Own goal),
  • 31', Cunha M. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mount M. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Foster L. , Bruun Larsen J. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 1, Mbeumo B. , Dalot D. (A),
  • 65', Mejbri H. , Tchaouna L. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ,
  • 72', Casemiro , Sesko B. ,
  • 76', Ugochukwu L. , Laurent J. ,
  • 76', Fernandes B. 🟨,
  • 83', Bruun Larsen J. , Sonne O. ,
  • 83', Ekdal H. , Worrall J. ,
  • 85', Yoro L. , Mazraoui N. ,
  • 89', Tchaouna L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Anthony J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Foster L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 90+7', Laurent J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Walker K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
68.6%
Draw
19.1%
Burnley
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 18.2% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 17.4% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Manchester United - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)
    5.01
    (5.27)
    7.82
    (8.77)
    4.5%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 65.4%88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Burnley (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Burnley (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.
    • Man Utd has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Burnley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Manuel Hedilazio B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Burnley were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Manchester United - Burnley 1:1
    23.09.2023 Burnley - Manchester United 0:1
    21.12.2022 Manchester United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Burnley
    26.08.2025 Burnley - Derby County 2:1
    23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0
    09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool44009:4512
    2Arsenal43019:189
    3Tottenham43018:179
    4Bournemouth43016:519
    5Chelsea42209:368
    6Everton42115:327
    7Sunderland42115:327
    8Manchester City42028:446
    9Crystal Palace41304:136
    10Newcastle41213:305
    11Fulham41213:4-15
    12Brentford41125:7-24
    13Brighton41124:6-24
    14Manchester Utd41124:7-34
    15Nottingham41124:8-44
    16Leeds41121:6-54
    17Burnley41034:7-33
    18West Ham41034:11-73
    19Aston Villa40220:4-42
    20Wolves40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Burnley?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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