Result
2:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 34
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (245/336) | 78% (305/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (245/336) | 78% (305/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (74/130) | 69% (65/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Grimaldo A. ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 35', 1 - 0, Nebel P. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
- 40', Bell S. 🟨,
- 40', Palacios E. 🟨,
- 45+7', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hofmann J. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
- 46', Tella N. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Schick P. (Pen),
- 54', 1 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
- 59', Hincapie P. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 2, Burkardt J. (Pen),
- 68', Arthur 🟨,
- 68', Alonso X. 🟨,
- 71', Caci A. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 81', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
- 84', Tah J. 🟨,
- 87', Wirtz F. 🟨,
- 87', Garcia A. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 87', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 90+2', Burkardt J. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 90+2', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+2', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
Chances of winning
Mainz
39.7% | Draw
25.2% | Bayer Leverkusen
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3%)
Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.28) |
3.79 ↓
(3.92) |
2.74 ↓
(2.89) |
4.2%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
69 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 47 - 68.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 12 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 57.1% – 79.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Mainz (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH 0 - Bayer (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Jenz M.
(Broken nose)
Kohr D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J.
(Knee Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Thigh Injury)
Mukiele N.
(Muscle Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Zentner R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Sarco A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Mainz?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
14.01.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Mainz
1:0
23.02.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Mainz
2:1
30.09.2023
Mainz
-
Bayer Leverkusen
0:3
19.02.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Mainz
2:3
27.08.2022
Mainz
-
Bayer Leverkusen
0:3
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 9 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
