Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:4
11/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.621.42
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
120
Passes
90% (541/604)79% (305/384)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.621.42
xG on target (xGOT)
4.282.50
Total shots
199
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
120
Touches in opposition box
3813
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
87
Passes
90% (541/604)79% (305/384)
Long passes
58% (22/38)30% (16/53)
Passes in final third
84% (173/205)60% (52/87)
Crosses
11% (4/36)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.270.98
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
78
Tackles
69% (11/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
1537
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
2.504.28
Goals prevented
-1.502.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 23', Gross P. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Frimpong J. , Wirtz F. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Brandt J. , Adeyemi K. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 2, Ryerson J. , Gross P. (A),
  • 45+2', Nmecha F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Nmecha F. , Sabitzer M. ,
  • 59', Tella N. , Hofmann J. ,
  • 59', Adli A. , Schick P. ,
  • 67', Andrich R. , Palacios E. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 74', Adeyemi K. , Can E. ,
  • 77', 1 - 4, Guirassy S. , Can E. (A),
  • 78', Xhaka G. , Garcia A. ,
  • 78', Hincapie P. , Arthur ,
  • 82', Gross P. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 87', Ryerson J. , Couto Y. ,
  • 87', Brandt J. , Gittens J. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 4, Hofmann J. , Wirtz F. (A),

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
37%
Draw
25.1%
Borussia Dortmund
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 24.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 25.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Dortmund's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.06)
    3.82
    (4)
    2.52
    (3.34)
    4.2%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 17 - 30.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 34.1%60.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Borussia D (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DNB - Borussia D (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.
    • Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Borussia D is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Thigh Injury) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Sarco A. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Jessen N. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:46. (average 1.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    21.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1
    03.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    29.01.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund?
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