Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (543/609) | 86% (403/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (543/609) | 86% (403/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 67% (24/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/99) | 67% (72/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.61 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Diakite B. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
- 7', Nuamah E. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
- 22', Lacazette A. 🟨,
- 25', Tolisso C. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Lacazette A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Andre B. 🟨,
- 62', Mukau N. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 68', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 69', Matic N. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
- 72', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 72', Bakker M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 72', Diakite B. 🟨,
- 77', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
- 83', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
- 84', Gomes A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 90+1', Almada T. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdeebwas
Chances of winning
Lyon
41.4% | Draw
26.7% | Lille
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lyon - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.1) |
3.56 ↓
(3.7) |
2.99 ↓
(3.2) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lyon - Lille?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 38 - 79.2%). Lille will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 67.7% – 90.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Lille (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2.
- Lyon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Lyon: Caleta-Car D.
(Injury)
Fofana M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Mbappe E.
(Illness)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lyon won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:31 (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Lille?
Lyon has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lyon?
Lille has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lille were as follows:
01.11.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
1:1
06.05.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
3:4
07.02.2024
Lyon
-
Lille
2:1
26.11.2023
Lyon
-
Lille
0:2
10.03.2023
Lille
-
Lyon
3:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nantes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
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| |
|---|
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