Lyon vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Lyon - Lille
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Lyon - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.94
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
89% (543/609)86% (403/469)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.601.07
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1919
Through passes
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (543/609)86% (403/469)
Long passes
45% (17/38)67% (24/36)
Passes in final third
69% (68/99)67% (72/107)
Crosses
10% (1/10)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.61
Fouls
1514
Tackles
65% (11/17)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3860
Clearances Total
1418
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.071.60
Goals prevented
0.07-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Diakite B. , Andre B. (A),
  • 7', Nuamah E. , Cherki R. ,
  • 22', Lacazette A. 🟨,
  • 25', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Lacazette A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 62', Mukau N. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 68', Lacazette A. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 69', Matic N. , Veretout J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Cherki R. , Tolisso C. (A),
  • 72', David J. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 72', Bakker M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 72', Diakite B. 🟨,
  • 77', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
  • 83', Gudmundsson G. , Ismaily ,
  • 84', Gomes A. , Bentaleb N. ,
  • 90+1', Almada T. , Akouokou P. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdeebwas

Chances of winning


Lyon
41.4%
Draw
26.7%
Lille
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 25.5% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 24.7% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Lyon - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.1)
    3.56
    (3.7)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Lyon - Lille?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2.
    • Lyon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Caleta-Car D. (Injury) Fofana M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Mbappe E. (Illness) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lyon won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:31 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lille were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Lille - Lyon 1:1
    06.05.2024 Lille - Lyon 3:4
    07.02.2024 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    26.11.2023 Lyon - Lille 0:2
    10.03.2023 Lille - Lyon 3:3
    Latest results of Lyon
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    13.03.2025 Lyon - FCSB 4:0
    09.03.2025 Nice - Lyon 0:2
    06.03.2025 FCSB - Lyon 1:3
    Latest results of Lille
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0
    12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lyon - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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