Luton Town vs Barnet: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Luton Town - Barnet
Result
4:1
02/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Luton Town - Barnet - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
76% (273/359)75% (303/406)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.79
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
76% (273/359)75% (303/406)
Long passes
42% (32/76)29% (19/66)
Passes in final third
56% (71/127)53% (63/118)
Crosses
22% (5/23)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.73
Throw-ins
2728
Fouls
1217
Tackles
45% (9/20)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.791.65
Goals prevented
-0.21-2.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', Kensdale O. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Nordas L. , Nelson Z. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Yates J. , Bramall C. (A),
  • 27', Kensdale O. , Collinge D. ,
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Bramall C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Galvin R. , Glover R. ,
  • 61', Stead C. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 63', Yates J. , Alli M. ,
  • 63', Kodua G. , Morris S. ,
  • 72', Crichlow-Noble R. , Tavares N. ,
  • 73', Adeniran D. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 73', Nordas L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 73', Bramall C. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 85', Richards J. , Phillips J. ,
  • 86', Winterburn B. 🟨,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Morris S. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 4 - 1, Senior A. , Glover R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
63%
Draw
21.1%
Barnet
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 19% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 18.7% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Luton Town - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.34)
    4.45
    (4.75)
    6.08
    (6.64)
    6.6%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Barnet will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Luton is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Barnet
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    23.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barnet 0:1
    19.08.2025 Swindon Town - Barnet 0:2
    16.08.2025 Barnet - Walsall 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bromley - Barnet 2:0
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
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    Group 4
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    Group 5
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    Group 11
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    Group 12
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    Group 15
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    Group 16
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    2Cambridge Utd000000:00
    3Brighton U21000000:00
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