Luton Town vs Cardiff City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Luton Town - Cardiff City
Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Luton Town - Cardiff City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.65
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
2316
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (380/448)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.66
Total shots
2316
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
88
Shots inside the Box
198
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (380/448)
Long passes
35% (23/65)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
58% (65/113)81% (126/156)
Crosses
41% (7/17)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.03
Throw-ins
2410
Fouls
1110
Tackles
71% (12/17)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.661.66
Goals prevented
-0.341.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Turnbull D. , Colwill J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Keeley J. 🟨,
  • 55', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 58', Wells N. , Yates J. ,
  • 58', Lonwijk N. , Kodua G. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Willock C. ,
  • 70', Lawlor D. , Chambers C. ,
  • 70', Robinson C. , Salech Y. ,
  • 72', Walsh L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 73', Saville G. , Baptiste S. ,
  • 86', Chambers C. 🟨,
  • 90', Willock C. , Davies I. ,
  • 90+1', Nordas L. , Bramall C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
45.7%
Draw
27.5%
Cardiff City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 26.6% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 27.4% 23.6%

Luton Town - Cardiff City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.07
(1.89)
3.39
(3.48)
3.47
(3.8)
6.7%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Cardiff (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 40%). Cardiff (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5.
  • Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
  • There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Groin Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Kodua G. (Injury) Wells N. (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D. (Inactive) Ng P. (Inactive) Tanner O. (Injury)
  • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Cardiff City were as follows:
11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
06.11.2024 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0
31.01.2023 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0
30.08.2022 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Cardiff26174545:261955
2Lincoln27157544:291552
3Bradford City25137535:27846
4Stockport County26136737:32545
5Bolton271110633:25843
6Huddersfield271161046:38839
7Luton26116937:32539
8Stevenage25108727:23438
9Wycombe2699834:29536
10Mansfield24105934:28635
11Reading2598833:31235
12Peterborough261121333:35-235
13Exeter251031228:23533
14Plymouth261031333:39-633
15Barnsley2295835:34132
16Leyton Orient26951239:43-432
17AFC Wimbledon25941227:34-731
18Wigan2579926:28-230
19Burton26861227:37-1030
20Blackpool26851332:39-729
21Northampton25851223:30-729
22Doncaster25751325:41-1626
23Rotherham25661324:38-1424
24Port Vale24461418:34-1618

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

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It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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