Coventry City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Coventry City - Luton Town
Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Coventry City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.19
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Long passes
41% (21/51)59% (41/69)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)63% (62/99)
Crosses
40% (8/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.74
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
611
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.191.48
Goals prevented
0.190.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Holmes T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thomas B. , Kitching L. ,
  • 46', Bramall C. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Simms E. , Wright H. (A),
  • 59', Woodrow C. , Alli M. ,
  • 59', Kodua G. , Richards J. ,
  • 63', Wright H. , Rudoni J. ,
  • 63', Torp V. , Grimes M. ,
  • 63', Andrews K. , Sakamoto T. ,
  • 63', Holmes T. , Phillips J. ,
  • 64', Nordas L. , Yates J. ,
  • 75', Borges Rodrigues R. , Thomas-Asante B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Coventry City
48.6%
Draw
26.2%
Luton Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 27.6% 23.5%

Coventry City - Luton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.95
(1.91)
3.61
(3.67)
3.73
(3.71)
5.7%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Coventry City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Coventry (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Coventry (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Luton (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Coventry (votes: 3 - 75%). Luton (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.
  • In recent matches, Coventry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Luton is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Coventry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
  • Coventry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.1:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coventry City - Luton Town were as follows:
26.04.2025 Luton Town - Coventry City 1:0
26.10.2024 Coventry City - Luton Town 3:2
27.05.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:2
11.02.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:1
14.09.2022 Luton Town - Coventry City 2:2
Latest results of Coventry City
09.08.2025 Coventry City - Hull City 0:0
02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
30.07.2025 Coventry City - Betis 1:1
16.07.2025 Coventry City - Monaco 0:5
Latest results of Luton Town
Draw
Main

1/64-finals
1BarrowPreston0 : 1
2WrexhamHull4 : 3
3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
5BurnleyBye
6West BromDerby1 : 2
7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
9WolvesBye
10ByeWest Ham
11EvertonBye
12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
13TranmereBurton1 : 2
14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
16ByeChelsea
17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
20ByeArsenal
21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
24ByeBrighton
25LiverpoolBye
27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
29Crystal PalaceBye
31NewportMillwall0 : 1
32CoventryLuton1 : 0
33NewcastleBye
35StokeWalsall1 : 0
36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
37TottenhamBye
39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
45FulhamBye
46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
52ByeNottingham
53SunderlandBye
54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
56ByeManchester City
57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
58ByeLeeds
59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
60ByeManchester Utd
61BournemouthBye
62ByeBrentford
64ByeAston Villa

1/32-finals
1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
8ByeChelsea
9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
10ByeArsenal
11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
13LiverpoolBye
14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
15Crystal PalaceBye
16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
17NewcastleBye
18StokeBradford City0 : 3
19TottenhamBye
20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
21WiganStockport County1 : 0
22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
26ByeNottingham
27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
28ByeManchester City
29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
32ByeAston Villa

1/16-finals
1WrexhamReading2 : 0
2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
3WolvesEverton2 : 0
4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
11WiganWycombe0 : 2
12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

1/8-finals
1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
6WycombeFulham1 : 2
7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

Quarter-finals
1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
2ArsenalCrystal Palace2 : 1
3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

Semi-finals
1ChelseaArsenal0 : 1, 2 : 3
2NewcastleManchester City1 : 3, 0 : 2

Final
1ArsenalManchester City
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