Finland vs Lithuania, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer FIFA World Cup Finland - Lithuania
Result
2:1
09/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
Finland - Lithuania - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.85
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
86% (367/427)84% (364/433)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.180.27
Total shots
128
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2011
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1321
Passes
86% (367/427)84% (364/433)
Long passes
48% (20/42)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
80% (95/119)57% (47/82)
Crosses
18% (3/17)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.84
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
2113
Tackles
75% (6/8)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.272.18
Goals prevented
-0.730.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Dolznikov A. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sirvys P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kallman B. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Markhiev A. , Antman O. (A),
  • 60', Dolznikov A. , Jankauskas E. ,
  • 60', Golubickas P. , Slivka V. ,
  • 61', Markhiev A. , Lod R. ,
  • 65', Kallman B. , Terho C. ,
  • 72', Ivanov R. 🟨,
  • 77', Armalas V. , Sirgedas G. ,
  • 77', Paulauskas G. , Petkevicius N. ,
  • 83', Lahteenmaki J. , Stahl A. ,
  • 83', Antman O. , Keskinen T. ,
  • 83', Walta L. , Peltola M. ,
  • 90+4', Keskinen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Finland
62.3%
Draw
23.7%
Lithuania
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 21.9% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Finland - Lithuania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.5)
    4.04
    (4.49)
    6.8
    (7.95)
    4.1%
    (1.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Finland - Lithuania?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 57 - 87.7%). Lithuania will win (votes: 2 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 79.7%95.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Finland (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Finland will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Finland is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Finland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Lithuania were as follows:
    24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
    Latest results of Finland
    07.09.2025 Poland - Finland 3:1
    04.09.2025 Norway - Finland 1:0
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
    Latest results of Lithuania
    07.09.2025 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3
    04.09.2025 Lithuania - Malta 1:1
    10.06.2025 Denmark - Lithuania 5:0
    07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0
    24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Finland - Lithuania?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
    lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, Fox
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea
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