Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (314/382) | 91% (601/658) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (314/382) | 91% (601/658) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 63% (20/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/108) | 76% (100/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Hernandez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Mayulu S. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
- 59', Barcola B. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
- 59', Mbaye I. ↓, Hakimi A. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Mendes N. ⚽,
- 66', Bentaleb N. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 66', Haraldsson H. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez L. ↓, Zabarnyi I. ↑,
- 76', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 76', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
- 81', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Mbappe E. ⚽, Igamane H. (A),
- 88', Andre B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
22.9% | Draw
24.7% | Paris Saint-Germain
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lille - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↓
(4.7) |
3.85 ↓
(4.32) |
1.86 ↑
(1.64) |
4.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Paris Saint-Germain?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(48 of 56 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.54% – 94.88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 0.
- In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- PSG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, PSG is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Dembele O.
(Thigh Injury)
Doue D.
(Calf Injury)
Kamara N.
(International duty)
Kvaratskhelia K.
(Muscle Injury)
Marquinhos
(Thigh Injury)
Neves J.
(Injury)
Ruiz F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 21:50. (average 1.1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lille has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lille?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
01.03.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
4:1
01.09.2024
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:3
10.02.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
3:1
17.12.2023
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
19.02.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
4:3
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Paris Saint-Germain?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
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 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1 Pass, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
