Chelsea vs Leeds United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English FA Cup Chelsea - Leeds United
Result
3:2
28/02/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Coote D. (Eng)
Chelsea - Leeds United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Chelsea
62.7%
Draw
20.5%
Leeds United
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 20.5% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6% 23.9% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Chelsea - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.47)
    4.64
    (4.6)
    5.7
    (6.06)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chelsea - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 39 - 75%). Leeds will win (votes: 7 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 63.2%86.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 3.
    • Recent matches Chelsea is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Leeds in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Chelsea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Chelsea is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Groin Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Knee Injury) Cucurella M. (Ankle Injury) Fofana W. (Knee Injury) James R. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Injury) Ugochukwu L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: Byram S. (Hamstring Injury) Dallas S. (Broken Leg) Darlow K. (Finger Injury) Struijk P. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Silva T. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Leeds United were as follows:
    04.03.2023 Chelsea - Leeds United 1:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    25.02.2024 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:1
    17.02.2024 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:1
    12.02.2024 Crystal Palace - Chelsea 1:3
    07.02.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:3
    Latest results of Leeds United
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    2ByeChester
    3Curzon AshtonBye
    4Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    5AFC FyldeBye
    6WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    7SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    8ByeDarlington
    9Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    10West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    11HallamAshton Utd0 : 2, 2 : 2
    12ByeScarborough
    13West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    14ByeSpennymoor
    15Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    16Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    17MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    18WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    19RadcliffeBye
    20ByeSouthport
    21MacclesfieldBye
    22Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    23AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    24TraffordStockton2 : 1
    25KendalDunston0 : 1
    26Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    27CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    28RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    29South ShieldsBye
    30Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    31WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    32ByeChorley
    33Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    34ByeMarine
    35BuxtonBye
    36RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    37HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    38LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    39MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    40Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    41CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    42KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    43WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    44MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    45Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    46ByeEnfield Town
    47QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    48Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    49Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    50EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    51HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    52WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    53BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    54NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    55Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    56Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    57HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    58March TownGorleston1 : 3
    59Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    60StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    61HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    62ByeWorksop
    63Peterborough SportsBye
    64ByeHornchurch
    65AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    66ByeLeamington
    67ChelmsfordBye
    68Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    69IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    70ByeAlfreton
    71BedfordBye
    72ByeDag & Red
    73ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    74HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    75BillericayBarton4 : 1
    76BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    77RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    78BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81AFC TelfordBye
    82ByeKidderminster
    83KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    84EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    85Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    86HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    87SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    88AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    89Hemel HempsteadBye
    90Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    91Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    92ByeHereford
    93Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    94Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    95BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    96StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    97Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    98ByeBath
    99Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    100ByeWorthing
    101WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    102Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    103Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    104SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    105EbbsfleetBye
    106Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    107MaidenheadBye
    108FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    109Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    110Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    111HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    112TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    113ChertseyThame2 : 1
    114RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    115Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    116ByeTonbridge
    117Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    118Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    119UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    120ByeSlough
    121Merthyr TownBye
    122Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    123Hampton & RichmondBye
    124SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    125WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    126FairfordSholing0 : 2
    127Eastbourne BoroBye
    128EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    129WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    130ByeHorsham FC
    131FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    132ByeMaidstone
    133SalisburyBye
    134Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    135DorkingBye
    136CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    137Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    138ByeOxford City
    139FarnboroughBye
    140ByeDover
    141GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    142DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    143TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    144ByeWeston-super-Mare
    145AFC TottonBye
    146ByeTorquay
    147Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town2 : 0, 1 : 1
    148Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4
    149Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    150FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    151BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    152TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    153Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk2 : 3, 1 : 1
    154Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    155GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    156ByeChippenham
    157Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    158ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    159DealCobham2 : 0
    160BeckenhamEgham2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1StalybridgeChester1 : 2
    2Curzon AshtonHebburn Town4 : 1
    3AFC FyldeBamber Bridge4 : 1
    4BootleDarlington1 : 3
    5Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets0 : 2
    6Ashton UtdScarborough2 : 0
    7West AucklandSpennymoor0 : 1
    8FC UnitedChadderton0 : 1
    9MorpethWitton2 : 1
    10RadcliffeSouthport2 : 3, 1 : 1
    11MacclesfieldAtherton R.3 : 0
    12NantwichTrafford3 : 1
    13DunstonStocksbridge1 : 0
    14GainsboroughRushall2 : 1
    15South ShieldsGuiseley2 : 1
    16CongletonChorley0 : 1
    17Newcastle Blue StarMarine0 : 2
    18BuxtonRedditch3 : 0
    19HydeWhitby2 : 0
    20MatlockCarlton Town3 : 0
    21LeistonHackney Wick4 : 1
    22ChasetownBanbury1 : 2, 0 : 0
    23Enfield FCEnfield Town0 : 3
    24QuornKettering2 : 1
    25Needham MarketEynesbury4 : 2
    26Mulbarton WanderersWitham0 : 2, 0 : 0
    27Bury TownWoodford Town0 : 1, 1 : 1
    28HitchinSt. Albans1 : 2
    29Waltham AbbeyGorleston2 : 0
    30Maldon & TiptreeStanway2 : 0
    31HarboroughWorksop3 : 2
    32Peterborough SportsHornchurch2 : 1
    33AlvechurchLeamington3 : 0
    34ChelmsfordHertford6 : 0
    35Spalding UnitedAlfreton3 : 0
    36BedfordDag & Red0 : 1, 1 : 1
    37ColeshillHednesford0 : 7
    38BillericayBerkhamsted3 : 0
    39RoystonBrentwood1 : 0
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn1 : 4
    41AFC TelfordKidderminster3 : 1
    42Racing Club WarwickEvesham0 : 1, 3 : 3
    43Grimsby BoroughHalesowen1 : 6, 1 : 1
    44SudburyAveley1 : 2
    45Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford4 : 1
    46Sporting KhalsaHereford
    47Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge3 : 1
    48ShepshedStamford0 : 2
    49WimborneBath2 : 1
    50Jersey BullsWorthing0 : 5, 2 : 2
    51Burgess HillFarnham1 : 3
    52BrixhamDorchester1 : 3
    53EbbsfleetAshford Town5 : 0
    54MaidenheadFaversham0 : 1
    55Whitstable TownChichester1 : 0, 1 : 1
    56HungerfordSwindon S3 : 0
    57ChertseyCray Valley2 : 3
    58Steyning TownTonbridge1 : 6, 2 : 2
    59Hanwell TownBedfont Sports0 : 1
    60WellingSlough0 : 1, 1 : 1
    61Merthyr TownTorpoint4 : 0
    62Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.4 : 2
    63FarehamSholing0 : 3
    64Eastbourne BoroEpsom4 : 0
    65WestfieldHorsham FC0 : 6, 2 : 2
    66FolkestoneMaidstone2 : 0
    67SalisburyLaverstock & Ford4 : 1
    68DorkingWingate & Finchley7 : 2
    69Westbury UnitedOxford City3 : 2
    70FarnboroughDover4 : 1
    71GosportPoole0 : 3
    72TauntonWeston-super-Mare0 : 3, 1 : 1
    73AFC TottonTorquay2 : 0
    74Shaftesbury TownFrome1 : 2, 1 : 1
    75Tower HamletsFlackwell0 : 2
    76BracknellTadley2 : 0
    77WhitehawkWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    78GloucesterChippenham1 : 2
    79Ashford U.Chatham0 : 3
    80DealEgham2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChesterCurzon Ashton
    2AFC FyldeDarlington
    3Runcorn LinnetsAshton Utd
    4SpennymoorChadderton
    5MorpethSouthport
    6MacclesfieldNantwich
    7DunstonGainsborough
    8South ShieldsChorley
    9MarineBuxton
    10HydeMatlock
    11LeistonBanbury
    12Enfield TownQuorn
    13Needham MarketWitham
    14Woodford TownSt. Albans
    15Waltham AbbeyMaldon & Tiptree
    16HarboroughPeterborough Sports
    17AlvechurchChelmsford
    18Spalding UnitedDag & Red
    19HednesfordBillericay
    20RoystonKingu2019s Lynn
    21AFC TelfordEvesham
    22HalesowenAveley
    23Hemel HempsteadTBD #46
    24Sutton ColdfieldStamford
    25WimborneWorthing
    26FarnhamDorchester
    27EbbsfleetFaversham
    28Whitstable TownHungerford
    29Cray ValleyTonbridge
    30Bedfont SportsSlough
    31Merthyr TownHampton & Richmond
    32SholingEastbourne Boro
    33Horsham FCFolkestone
    34SalisburyDorking
    35Westbury UnitedFarnborough
    36PooleWeston-super-Mare
    37AFC TottonFrome
    38FlackwellBracknell
    39Walton & HershamChippenham
    40ChathamDeal
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