Lazio vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Lazio - Lecce
Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 38
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
Lazio - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.42
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
269
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
144
Passes
88% (436/498)64% (128/201)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.49
Total shots
269
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
186
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
144
Touches in opposition box
4713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (436/498)64% (128/201)
Long passes
59% (19/32)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
82% (159/193)43% (26/61)
Crosses
25% (16/63)67% (6/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.41
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
1111
Tackles
63% (5/8)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
1665
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.491.55
Goals prevented
-0.511.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
  • 37', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Coulibaly L. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
  • 45+2', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
  • 46', Marusic A. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
  • 59', Karlsson J. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
  • 60', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
  • 69', Falcone W. 🟨,
  • 73', Tavares N. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
  • 73', Ramadani Y. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
  • 76', Rovella N. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
  • 77', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
  • 88', Krstovic N. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
  • 90+3', Romagnoli A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Lazio
66.4%		Draw
21.2%		Lecce
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 21.1% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 20.5% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    Lazio - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↓
    (1.49)    		 4.5 ↓
    (4.6)    		 7.58 ↑
    (7.18)    		 4.8%
    (3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Lazio - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 45 - 93.8%). Lecce will win (votes: 2 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 87% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lazio will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.
    • Lazio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lecce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lecce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lazio is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Thigh Injury) Patric (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Tete Morente (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lazio: Tavares N. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Lecce were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Lecce - Lazio 1:2
    14.01.2024 Lazio - Lecce 1:0
    20.08.2023 Lecce - Lazio 2:1
    12.05.2023 Lazio - Lecce 2:2
    04.01.2023 Lecce - Lazio 2:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2 ✺
    10.05.2025 Lazio - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Empoli - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lecce
    18.05.2025 Lecce - Torino 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Verona - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lazio - Lecce?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 2, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
    angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV6
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
    worldWorldOnefootball
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