Inter Milan vs Lazio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Inter Milan - Lazio
Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 11
  • Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Inter Milan - Lazio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.69
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
87% (489/559)86% (426/494)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.87
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
215
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1126
Passes
87% (489/559)86% (426/494)
Long passes
53% (31/59)69% (36/52)
Passes in final third
75% (109/145)78% (92/118)
Crosses
19% (4/21)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.51
Throw-ins
195
Fouls
2611
Tackles
43% (6/14)40% (2/5)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.871.44
Goals prevented
0.87-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Bastoni A. (A),
  • 25', Sarri M. 🟨,
  • 33', Akanji M. 🟨,
  • 37', Sucic P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Dumfries D. 🟨,
  • 56', Dumfries D. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 56', Sucic P. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Bonny A. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
  • 65', Cataldi D. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
  • 65', Isaksen G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
  • 65', Dia B. ↓, Pedro ↑,
  • 68', Lazzari M. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
  • 71', Martinez L. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
  • 72', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
  • 75', Romagnoli A. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
  • 81', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
  • 81', Bonny A. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
70.4%		Draw
18.2%		Lazio
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 18.9% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 18.1% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Inter Milan aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Inter Milan - Lazio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↓
    (1.41)    		 5.31 ↑
    (5.05)    		 8.46 ↑
    (7.01)    		 3.3%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Lazio?
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 0.75, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Mkhitaryan H. (Muscle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (Hamstring Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Tavares N. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Inter will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Lazio were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2
    25.02.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:0
    16.12.2024 Lazio - Inter Milan 0:6
    19.05.2024 Inter Milan - Lazio 1:1
    19.01.2024 Inter Milan - Lazio 3:0
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    05.11.2025 Inter Milan - Kairat 2:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Verona - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 3:1 ✺
    21.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Inter Milan 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Lazio
    03.11.2025 Lazio - Cagliari 2:0 ✺
    30.10.2025 Pisa - Lazio 0:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Lazio - Juventus 1:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Lazio - Torino 3:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan28179244:202460
    3Napoli28175643:291456
    4Como28149546:212551
    5AS Roma28163938:211751
    6Juventus28148650:282250
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna281161137:34339
    9Sassuolo281151235:38-338
    10Lazio28910928:28037
    11Udinese281061233:41-836
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Torino29961432:50-1833
    14Genoa28791234:40-630
    15Cagliari28791230:38-830
    16Lecce28761520:37-1727
    17Fiorentina285101330:42-1225
    18Cremonese28591422:40-1824
    19Verona28391622:49-2718
    20Pisa281121520:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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