Lazio vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/09/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

: Serie A - Round 4
Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.46
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
81% (315/388)	82% (336/408)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.19	2.05
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
6	12
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
14	24
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
22	14
Passes
81% (315/388)	82% (336/408)
Long passes
44% (18/41)	52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)	81% (104/129)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	1.15
Throw-ins
14	20
Fouls
14	22
Tackles
64% (9/14)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
56	41
Clearances
16	20
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
2.05	0.19
Goals prevented
1.05	0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Pellegrini Lo. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rovella N. ↓, Cataldi D. ↑,
46', Tavares N. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
62', Dia B. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
66', Ferguson E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
73', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
73', Soule M. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
79', Pedro ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
81', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
81', Angelino ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
83', Ndicka E. 🟨,
86', Belahyane R. 🟥,
88', Gila M. 🟨,
90+7', Guendouzi M. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lazio
34.3%

Draw
31.8%

Roma
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.9%

36.1%

Lazio - Roma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 (2.8)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	2.8 ↑ (2.59)	4.5% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lazio - Roma?

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 13 - 25%). Roma will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 59.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.3% – 72.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Lazio (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Lazio (1.48) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Lazio (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 7 - 50%). Roma (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 12 - 85.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Roma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Back Injury) Lazzari M. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Lazio: Patric (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.5:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Roma?

Lazio has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Lazio?

Roma has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Roma were as follows:

13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1

05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0

06.04.2024 Roma - Lazio 1:0

10.01.2024 Lazio - Roma 1:0

12.11.2023 Lazio - Roma 0:0

Latest results of Lazio

14.09.2025 Sassuolo - Lazio 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Lazio - Verona 4:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Lazio - Atromitos Athens 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Roma

14.09.2025 Roma - Torino 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Pisa - Roma 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Roma - Neom 2:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Everton - Roma 0:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	21	16	1	4	44:17	27	49
2	AC Milan	21	13	7	1	34:16	18	46
3	Napoli	21	13	4	4	31:17	14	43
4	AS Roma	21	14	0	7	26:12	14	42
5	Juventus	21	11	6	4	32:17	15	39
6	Como	21	10	7	4	31:16	15	37
7	Atalanta	21	8	8	5	26:20	6	32
8	Bologna	21	8	6	7	30:24	6	30
9	Lazio	21	7	7	7	21:19	2	28
10	Udinese	21	7	5	9	22:33	-11	26
11	Sassuolo	21	6	5	10	23:28	-5	23
12	Cremonese	21	5	8	8	20:28	-8	23
13	Parma	21	5	8	8	14:22	-8	23
14	Torino	21	6	5	10	21:34	-13	23
15	Cagliari	21	5	7	9	22:30	-8	22
16	Genoa	21	4	8	9	22:29	-7	20
17	Fiorentina	21	3	8	10	23:32	-9	17
18	Lecce	21	4	5	12	13:29	-16	17
19	Pisa	21	1	11	9	16:31	-15	14
20	Verona	21	2	8	11	17:34	-17	14

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Lazio - Roma?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter