Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 4
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/377) | 81% (285/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/377) | 81% (285/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (70/97) | 67% (55/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Tiago Gabriel ⚽, Sottil R. (A),
- 20', Tiago Gabriel 🟨,
- 27', Coulibaly L. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Belotti A. ⚽, Palestra M. (A),
- 45+1', Esposito Se. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
- 46', Sala A. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
- 58', Prati M. 🟨,
- 60', Esposito Se. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 60', Prati M. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
- 61', Sottil R. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Belotti A. (Pen),
- 72', Belotti A. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
- 73', Adopo M. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
- 73', Ramadani Y. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
- 80', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 86', Deiola A. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
- 89', Obert A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lecce
14.5% | Draw
34.1% | Cagliari
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecce's form might have worsened.Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+17.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lecce - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.29 ↑
(2.78) |
4.04 ↑
(3.01) |
2.5 ↓
(2.79) |
-25.5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lecce - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Cagliari will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.3% – 75.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lecce: Jean G.
(Knee Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
Rafia H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z.
(Thigh Injury)
Radunovic B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Kaba M.
(Thigh Injury)
Pierret B.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Cagliari?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Lecce?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Cagliari were as follows:
19.01.2025
Cagliari
-
Lecce
4:1
31.08.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:0
05.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Lecce
1:1
06.01.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:1
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Udinese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Bologna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Como | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
| 12 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Lazio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Verona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Pisa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Lecce - Cagliari?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
