Atalanta vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).

: Serie A - Round 34
Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.13	1.55
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
12	3
Passes
85% (569/670)	64% (154/240)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	1.40
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
12	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
15	7
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
12	3
Touches in opposition box
51	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
85% (569/670)	64% (154/240)
Long passes
58% (25/43)	31% (21/68)
Passes in final third
85% (267/315)	46% (36/79)
Crosses
35% (13/37)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.41	0.34
Throw-ins
22	18
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
50% (3/6)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
50	52
Clearances
16	40
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.40	1.56
Goals prevented
0.40	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Karlsson J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
49', Gallo A. 🟨,
59', Kossounou O. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
64', Pasalic M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Retegui M. (Pen),
70', Karlsson J. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
76', Pierotti S. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
78', Zappacosta D. 🟨,
80', Retegui M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
80', Ederson ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
85', Pierret B. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
85', Rebic A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atalanta
73.4%

Draw
16.8%

Lecce
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

16.7%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

10.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atalanta - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	5.75 ↑ (5.75)	9.72 ↓ (9.88)	4.2% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Lecce?

The most likely score is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to a tragic event in Lecce team.
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 3.
Recent matches Atalanta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lecce has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Atalanta is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.4:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Lecce?

Atalanta has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Atalanta?

Lecce has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Lecce were as follows:

19.08.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:4

18.05.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:2

30.12.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:0

19.02.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:2

09.11.2022 Lecce - Atalanta 2:1

Latest results of Atalanta

20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Juventus - Lecce 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Lecce - Venezia 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Genoa - Lecce 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli ✔	37	23	10	4	57:27	30	79
2	Inter ✔	37	23	9	5	77:35	42	78
3	Atalanta ✔	37	22	8	7	76:34	42	74
4	Juventus	37	17	16	4	55:33	22	67
5	AS Roma	37	19	9	9	54:35	19	66
6	Lazio	37	18	11	8	61:48	13	65
7	Fiorentina	37	18	8	11	57:39	18	62
8	Bologna	37	16	14	7	56:44	12	62
9	AC Milan	37	17	9	11	59:43	16	60
10	Como	37	13	10	14	49:50	-1	49
11	Torino	37	10	14	13	39:43	-4	44
12	Udinese	37	12	8	17	39:53	-14	44
13	Genoa	37	9	13	15	34:48	-14	40
14	Cagliari	37	9	9	19	40:54	-14	36
15	Verona	37	9	7	21	32:65	-33	34
16	Parma	37	6	15	16	41:56	-15	33
17	Lecce	37	7	10	20	26:58	-32	31
18	Empoli	37	6	13	18	32:57	-25	31
19	Venezia	37	5	14	18	30:53	-23	29
20	Monza ✔	37	3	9	25	28:67	-39	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Atalanta - Lecce?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Orange TV Go
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, ON Sport
World	Disney+, Onefootball