Köln vs Werder Bremen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Köln - Werder Bremen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.470.92
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
266
Shots on target
92
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
85
Passes
89% (435/490)81% (281/349)
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.470.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.601.11
Total shots
266
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
111
Shots inside the box
172
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
4718
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free kicks
716
Passes
89% (435/490)81% (281/349)
Long passes
70% (31/44)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
82% (138/169)67% (59/88)
Crosses
40% (8/20)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.51
Throw ins
1410
Fouls
167
Tackles
50% (3/6)76% (13/17)
Duels won
3147
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
1.112.60
Goals prevented
0.11-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, El Mala S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 24', Friedl M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lund K. , Castro-Montes A. ,
  • 46', Sugawara Y. , Coulibaly K. ,
  • 46', Grull M. , Musah S. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Ache R. ,
  • 67', Thielmann J. , Bulter M. ,
  • 67', El Mala S. , Maina L. ,
  • 71', Ache R. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Schmid R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 76', Ache R. , Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 78', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
  • 78', Agu F. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 83', Simpson-Pusey J. 🟨,
  • 84', Bittencourt L. , Milosevic J. ,
  • 86', Sebulonsen S. , Krauss T. ,
  • 90', Pieper A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 1, Johannesson I. , Waldschmidt L. (A),

Chances of winning


Köln
43%
Draw
27.3%
Werder Bremen
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 26.2% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 27.7% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Köln - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.18)
    3.49
    (3.62)
    3.22
    (3.15)
    4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Köln - Werder Bremen?
    • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Werder will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH +0.25 - Werder (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
    • Recent form of Köln has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Werder's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Köln could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1
    16.02.2024 Köln - Werder Bremen 0:1
    23.09.2023 Werder Bremen - Köln 2:1
    20.05.2023 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1
    21.01.2023 Köln - Werder Bremen 7:1
    Latest results of Köln
    14.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1
    07.03.2026 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    27.02.2026 Augsburg - Köln 2:0
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    04.04.2026 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 1:2
    21.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen 0:1
    15.03.2026 Werder Bremen - Mainz 0:2
    28.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 2:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1WolfsburgPaderborn1 : 2, 0 : 0
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