Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 25
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/365) | 89% (536/604) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/365) | 89% (536/604) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 68% (30/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/114) | 81% (149/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
- 45+2', Simpson-Pusey J. 🟥,
- 45+5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Johannesson I. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Beier M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 61', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
- 61', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
- 75', Niang Y. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
- 82', Bensebaini R. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
- 83', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
- 86', Martel E. 🟨,
- 86', Krauss T. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
- 86', El Mala S. ↓, Neumann C. ↑,
- 86', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Kaminski J. ⚽,
- 90+1', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Köln
22.7% | Draw
23.8% | Borussia Dortmund
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Köln - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↓
(4.38) |
4.02 ↓
(4.22) |
1.78 ↑
(1.7) |
4.7%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Köln - Borussia Dortmund?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +0.75 - Köln (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DNB - Borussia D (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Borussia D (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Borussia D (votes: 19 - 90.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
- Köln has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Borussia D has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Köln: Hubers T.
(Knee Injury)
Huseinbasic D.
(Hip Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
Schmied J.
(Muscle Injury)
Sebulonsen S.
(Muscle Injury)
Thielmann J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Can E.
(Knee Injury)
Chukwuemeka C.
(Muscle Injury)
Mane F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Sule N.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:41. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Borussia Dortmund?
Köln has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Köln?
Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
25.10.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Köln
1:0
20.01.2024
Köln
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:4
19.08.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Köln
1:0
18.03.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Köln
6:1
01.10.2022
Köln
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | Schalke | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Köln - Borussia Dortmund?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Poland, Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid, Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
