Union Berlin vs Köln: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Union Berlin - Köln - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.241.71
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
25
Passes
77% (353/461)74% (248/334)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.241.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.962.30
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
96
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
3120
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free kicks
107
Passes
77% (353/461)74% (248/334)
Long passes
41% (29/71)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
63% (100/160)49% (39/79)
Crosses
26% (7/27)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.43
Throw ins
2925
Fouls
710
Tackles
53% (8/15)86% (12/14)
Duels won
6349
Clearances
3055
Interceptions
17
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
2.300.96
Goals prevented
0.30-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Bulter M. , Waldschmidt L. (A),
  • 34', Leite D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Simpson-Pusey J. 🟨,
  • 58', Schafer A. , Burcu L. ,
  • 58', Juranovic J. , Trimmel C. ,
  • 58', Ansah I. , Ilic A. ,
  • 61', 0 - 2, El Mala S. , Lund K. (A),
  • 62', Waldschmidt L. , Chavez F. ,
  • 67', Nsoki S. , Skarke T. ,
  • 71', Bulter M. , Thielmann J. ,
  • 72', Kaminski J. , Maina L. ,
  • 72', El Mala S. , Niang Y. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Rothe T. , Trimmel C. (A),
  • 80', Lund K. , Schmied J. ,
  • 88', Khedira R. , Kral A. ,
  • 88', Schwabe M. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Burcu L. ,
  • 90+6', Burcu L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
38.8%
Draw
28.1%
Köln
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.1% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 28.2% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Union Berlin - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.33)
    3.39
    (3.51)
    2.9
    (2.96)
    4.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Köln?
    • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Köln will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4%70.8%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
    • Union Berlin is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Köln has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Köln were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1
    11.05.2024 Köln - Union Berlin 3:2
    20.12.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 2:0
    04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0
    11.09.2022 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    24.04.2026 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 3:1
    18.04.2026 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:2
    11.04.2026 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 3:1
    05.04.2026 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:1
    Latest results of Köln
    25.04.2026 Köln - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    17.04.2026 St. Pauli - Köln 1:1
    12.04.2026 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich342851122:368689
    2Dortmund34227570:343673
    3RB Leipzig34205966:471965
    4Stuttgart34188871:492262
    5Hoffenheim34187965:521361
    6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:472159
    7Freiburg341381351:57-647
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:65-444
    9Augsburg341271545:61-1643
    10Mainz3410101444:53-940
    11Union Berlin341091544:58-1439
    12B. Monchengladbach349111442:53-1138
    13Hamburger SV349111440:54-1438
    14FC Koln347111649:63-1432
    15Werder Bremen34881837:60-2332
    16Wolfsburg34781945:69-2429
    17Heidenheim34682041:72-3126
    18St. Pauli34682029:60-3126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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