Köln vs Heidenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Köln - Heidenheim
Result
1:3
10/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Köln - Heidenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.161.38
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
75
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
64
Passes
87% (489/562)73% (203/278)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.161.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.86
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
1011
Shots outside the box
80
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
89
Passes
87% (489/562)73% (203/278)
Long passes
58% (30/52)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
76% (149/195)60% (59/98)
Crosses
22% (5/23)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.191.30
Throw ins
1716
Fouls
98
Tackles
50% (3/6)57% (12/21)
Duels won
3558
Clearances
1630
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
1.861.27
Goals prevented
-1.140.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Schoppner J. , Ibrahimovic A. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Bulter M. , Krauss T. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Ibrahimovic A. ,
  • 30', Dinkci E. 🟨,
  • 37', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', El Mala S. 🟨,
  • 59', Krauss T. , Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 72', Schmied J. , Castro-Montes A. ,
  • 72', Maina L. , Kainz F. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Schoppner J. ,
  • 76', Traore O. H. , Stergiou L. ,
  • 76', Ibrahimovic A. , Conteh C. ,
  • 84', Dinkci E. , Honsak M. ,
  • 84', Zivzivadze B. , Kerber L. ,
  • 89', Lund K. , Niang Y. ,
  • 89', Ozkacar C. , Heintz D. ,
  • 89', Johannesson I. 🟨,
  • 89', Pieringer M. , Schimmer S. ,

Chances of winning


Köln
49.3%
Draw
23.4%
Heidenheim
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 22.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 26.3% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln's form might have worsened.
  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Köln - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.7)
    4.07
    (4.11)
    3.54
    (4.37)
    4.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Köln - Heidenheim?
    • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 27.2%57.8%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH +0.5 - Heidenheim (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heidenheim will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Köln could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Martel E. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Injury) Fohrenbach J. (Concussion)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Heidenheim were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2
    18.05.2024 Heidenheim - Köln 4:1
    13.01.2024 Köln - Heidenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Köln
    02.05.2026 Union Berlin - Köln 2:2
    25.04.2026 Köln - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    17.04.2026 St. Pauli - Köln 1:1
    12.04.2026 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1WolfsburgPaderborn1 : 2, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Köln - Heidenheim?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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