Result
1:3
10/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (489/562) | 73% (203/278) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (489/562) | 73% (203/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (149/195) | 60% (59/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Schoppner J. ⚽, Ibrahimovic A. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Bulter M. ⚽, Krauss T. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Ibrahimovic A. ⚽,
- 30', Dinkci E. 🟨,
- 37', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', El Mala S. 🟨,
- 59', Krauss T. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
- 72', Schmied J. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
- 72', Maina L. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Schoppner J. ⚽,
- 76', Traore O. H. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
- 76', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
- 84', Dinkci E. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
- 84', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
- 89', Lund K. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
- 89', Ozkacar C. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
- 89', Johannesson I. 🟨,
- 89', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Köln 49.3% | Draw 23.4% | Heidenheim 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln's form might have worsened.Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Köln - Heidenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.7) |
4.07 ↓ (4.11) |
3.54 ↓ (4.37) |
4.4% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Köln - Heidenheim?
- Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 27.2% – 57.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +0.5 - Heidenheim (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heidenheim will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Köln could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Köln: Ache R.
(Muscle Injury)
Hubers T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
Martel E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S.
(Knee Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heidenheim: Busch M.
(Injury)
Fohrenbach J.
(Concussion)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Heidenheim?
Köln has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Köln?
Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Heidenheim were as follows:
10.01.2026
Heidenheim
-
Köln
2:2
18.05.2024
Heidenheim
-
Köln
4:1
13.01.2024
Köln
-
Heidenheim
1:1
Latest results of Heidenheim
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Wolfsburg | Paderborn | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Köln - Heidenheim?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
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Australia | beIN Connect |
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Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
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Ecuador | ESPN 5 |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
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Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
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Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Paraguay | ESPN 5 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 3 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
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Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
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Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
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Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |