Ipswich Town vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Ipswich Town - Derby County
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Ipswich Town - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Ipswich Town
60.4%
Draw
23.9%
Derby County
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 23.9% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 22.1% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Ipswich Town - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.6)
    3.98
    (3.96)
    6.02
    (5.61)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ipswich is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Derby County were as follows:
    01.04.2023 Derby County - Ipswich Town 0:2
    21.10.2022 Ipswich Town - Derby County 1:0
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke33008:269
    2Middlesbrough33006:159
    3Coventry321012:487
    4West Brom32105:327
    5Birmingham32104:227
    6Preston32104:227
    7Leicester32014:316
    8Millwall32013:4-16
    9Bristol City31205:235
    10Southampton31114:404
    11Portsmouth31113:304
    12Watford31113:304
    13Swansea31112:204
    14Charlton31111:104
    15Hull31113:5-24
    16Blackburn31024:313
    17Norwich31024:5-13
    18Ipswich30212:3-12
    19Wrexham30125:7-21
    20Derby30125:9-41
    21Sheffield Wed30123:7-41
    22QPR30123:10-71
    23Oxford Utd30032:5-30
    24Sheffield Utd30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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